Computer models are getting a lot of attention lately. And today, we are learning how wrong they can be.
Exhibit A: Virus deaths (projected) have gone from 1 million to 100,000 to 50,000. That is a big change. Bet reality will be lower than that. Maybe much lower. NYC hospitals have now discharged more people than admitting over the last 3 days. Hmm.
Exhibit B: Weak storm system moving through on Wed would keep us cool. I was uncertain. If it was to our north we could get quite warm. To our south, we stay chilly. I took the middle of the road. Today I am going warm. Models went from 40s to 60s in the matter of 48 hours. Oops.
So what are we facing?
Today: Beautiful. Sunny. Warm. Mid 60s at least.
Tuesday: Some sun possible early. Then clouds. Chance for showers late. 60.
Wednesday: Partial sun. Chance for a shower. 68.
Thursday: Cloudy. Chance for showers. Cooler. 55.
Good Friday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Slight chance of a shower. Breezy. Chilly. 48.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Chilly. 48.
Resurrection Sunday: Sun to start. Increasing clouds. Milder. 55. (Weekend is highly uncertain at this time. Expect changes.)
I do apologize for being absent from the weather, but time is short for it right now.
The outlook for Holy Week is not the greatest, but not the worst either. Here are some details:
Palm Sunday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny at times. 62
Monday: Mostly sunny. Nice. 64.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. 60.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. 55.
Thursday: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Chance for showers. 62.
Friday: Partly sunny. Chance for showers. Cooler. 52.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. Colder. 48.
Friday and Saturday may change. More uncertainty than usual. But it does look cool to chilly over Resurrection or Easter Sunday.
Short on time for more detailed forecasts right now, but I can give you a decent picture quickly. Here we go:
Today: Sun should come out this afternoon: 50's.
Friday: Rain showers ending early. Partial sun possible in the afternoon. If so, 50's. If not, mid/upper 40's.
Saturday: Rain. Chilly. 40's.
Sunday: Clouds. Chance for a shower. If sunshine breaks out in afternoon, then temps soar into the 60's. Not sure if it will. If not, near 50. Amount of sunshine will be key.
Monday: Sun and clouds. Seasonal. 50.
That is about it for now. Remember that we may not know how this will end, or when this will end, but we can know Who is in control: God is in control. Look to Him everyday, and follow His lead. His grace is sufficient, and power is made perfect in weakness.
Good Morning. A nice day today with sunshine that will fade behind some clouds later today. But a nice early spring day. This week is going to be a wet and cool week over-all. Some details:
Sunday: Sunshine then clouds late. 40s. Rain/snow develop overnight.
Monday: Snow/rain to all rain. C-2" esp. hills. Cold. 30's.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Seasonal. 50.
Wednesday: Rain. Chilly. 40.
Thursday: Sunshine and clouds. Warmer. 50's to near 60.
Friday: Clouds and sun. Chance for a shower. Cooler. 50.
Saturday: Cloudy. Chance for rain. Briefly warmer? 60's?
A more complete update will come later today. Been a busy time. Lot's of adjusting going on. Yet, God is good. God is in control.
A decent week is in store for us this week. Some soaking rain and some warm weather is in store as well. Since most of us have less activities right now scheduled, take the time to enjoy the sunshine and get outside. Clean up the yard. Finish projects. Clean the garage. Clean the house. Make the most of it. Get to know your neighbors again.
Some details for weather in the coming days:
That is all for now. Remember God is in control. The sun rose. The birds are singing. God is still on the throne.
Time is flying. We are nearing the mid point of March. Spring is rapidly coming. The grass is greening. Daffodils are blooming or will be soon. Tulips and hyacinths are readying to bloom soon. Birds are active and singing. New life is coming. Like it does every year.
The weather will be typical for this time of year: Some clouds. Some sun. Some rain. Some warm weather. Some colder weather. Nothing to get too worked up about.
Every day is a new day the Lord has made. We must make the most of it. Enjoy it. Don't be consumed with worry about tomorrow. Trust in Him. He will give us what we need. Eternity is in His hands. Believe in Him = eternity is secure. Meaning you are secure in His hands.
Have a most blessed day today living for our Lord Jesus Christ.
Maybe the weather won't be so "happy" with snow/rain showers today, but the weekend is looking nice. Chilly Sat but a warm Sunday with sunshine and temps rising into the 50's. Monday is even better! 63 with sunshine? Looks like it. Enjoy it.
Note: yes there could be a slushy accumulation of snow on grassy surfaces and in the higher elevations. No big deal. Mainly "white rain" for most.
A nice day today. Breezy at times. But mild. It will turn colder late. Expect some more clouds to roll in this afternoon, with a shower possible.
Cooler for Thursday, but still nice with temps in the middle 40's. Then Friday looks damp with widespread rain and snow showers. No accumulations expected, except to the far north and higher elevations. Only on grassy surfaces.
Friday: Energy from the north (with cold air) and storm to our south moving NE will phase into a big storm off the Mid Atlantic coastline. This will bring rain and snow showers to PA.
Dry and colder for Saturday
Much warmer for Sunday with sunshine.
Warm and like spring on Monday with sunshine again.
Interesting system coming around next Wed/Thu. Could be last real “chance” for some winter precipitation. After that I think winter chances are done. Could be wrong. We’ll find out.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.