A Beautiful Easter or Resurrection Sunday is in store. Sunshine and temps in the 50s to around 60. Monday is looking good too. Maybe a couple degrees warmer. Then the challenges begin.
A frontal boundary may be over or near our area on Tue and Wed. This could lead to a couple of really nice mild to warm days of temps well into the 60s with sun and clouds ... or it would lead to couple of cloudy cool days with a chance for showers. 100 miles will make a significant difference.
Thursday looks to be ok, before a front approaches given us a few showers into Friday. The next challenge is the weekend. Is it wet and cool as a slow area of low pressure develops and impacts us Sat - Mon or is it pushed SE and we stay cool but relatively dry. Tough call this time of year. Slow moving storms are annoying.
Resurrection Sunday: Sunny. Nice. 60.
Monday: Sunny. 64.
Tuesday: Sun and clouds. Chance for a shower late/overnight. 62.
Wednesday: Sun and clouds. Chance for early showers. 58.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Chance showers overnight. 65.
Friday: Cloudy with chance for showers. 58.
Saturday: Cloudy. Chance for rain. Cooler. 50.
Holy Week is upon us. The most important week in the life of a Christian. Will the weather be as good? Maybe not.
A wet Palm Sunday is in store. Some heavy rain is possible early, then some showers with a chance for a thunderstorm. About 1" rain is expected.
Drier Monday, Tuesday. Then more rain arriving on Wed into Thu. Some heavy rain is possible with this system also. The intrigue with this system is that the amount of cold air behind it causing some rain to change to snow in northern and western PA. Not likely here, but it is something to watch.
Thu and Fri look to be much colder, and breezy. Much nicer Sat with sunshine and milder temps.
Sunday: Rain in the morning. Showers/thunderstorm in afternoon. 60.
Monday: Sun and clouds. Breezy. Cooler. 51.
Tuesday: Sun and clouds. 54.
Wednesday: Cloudy. Rain. 58.
Thursday: Rain ending. Breezy. Colder. 42.
Friday: Partly sunny. Rain/snow shower possible. 38.
Saturday: Sunny. Milder. 46.
A nice stretch is coming up for a couple more days. Then some damp then wet weather will enter the picture.
An area of high pressure will dominate Sun and Mon, then an on shore flow will bring in more clouds and some light rain/drizzle for the middle of the week. Then a larger storm will approach toward the end of the week and bring a soaking rain to the area.
Sunday: Sunshine. Mild. 60.
Monday: Sunshine. Mild. 58.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. 58.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Chance light rain showers or drizzle. 53.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Chance rain after dark. 60.
Friday: Cloudy. Rain likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. 63.
Saturday: Clearing. Cooler. Breezy. 48.
An interesting and changeable week is ahead. I hope you enjoyed our spring preview, as it is coming to an end. One more really nice day of sunshine, then late winter tries to return again.
The first system coming out of the western plains states, will weaken as it moves east. A cold rain or wet snow is possible from this system. This should then be followed by a bigger and wetter system later in the week. This system should be mostly rain, but snow cannot be ruled out at this time. Get used to this cooler regime for at least 2 weeks maybe longer. And yes, chances for snow will be there.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. 48. Breezy at times.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. Colder. Breezy at times. 39.
Tuesday: Cloudy. Chance for light rain and/or snow showers. 35.
Wednesday: Cloudy. Light rain and/or snow early. Then partly sunny. 40.
Thursday: Cloudy. Rain developing in afternoon. 44.
Friday: Cloudy. Rain and/or snow ending early. Clearing. 42.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. 45.
A big spring preview is coming, even though these last few days have felt a bit more like winter, than springtime. But that will change starting Tue.
A big warm-up will commence Tue and last into Friday. Temps will soar into the 60s Wed - Fri and maybe if things work out right, a run toward 70? It is possible. But don't get used to it. Winter will make a return next weekend, and it looks to stay chilly for the rest of the month, with a mild day mixed in now and then.
Sunday: Sun and clouds. 36.
Monday: Mostly sunny. 41.
Tuesday: Sun and clouds. Warmer. 55.
Wednesday: Sun and clouds. Warm. 65.
Thursday: Sun and clouds. Warm. 67.
Friday: Cloudy. Warm. Showers likely. 65.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Much colder. 45.
Three straight days of sunshine! That has not happened for a while. And to be mild too? Quite nice indeed. But clouds and precipitation are returning.
Friday Night: Snow develops around midnight and ends around sunrise as it changes to a little light rain. A light accumulation of snow is expected.
Sunday will feature more light rain but mild temperatures. Then a strong cold front moves through the area for Monday. It will be much cooler as high pressure takes over. Lots of sunshine for Tue. Then we have watch a system moving E-NE for Wed/Wed night. Could be snow/rain. Hard to tell right now.
Those saying winter is over are premature. It will snow Fri night, and perhaps the middle of next week. We will grow milder, but winter weather is not over.
Friday: Sunshine then clouds late. 42.
Friday night: Light snow develops. Changes to rain by 6 am. 1-2" snow for most.
Saturday: Light rain early. Cloudy. Some peeks of sun. 40.
Sunday: Rain. Ends by mid afternoon. 43.
Monday: Early showers. Partly sunny. Mild then turning colder. 50.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Colder. 32.
Wednesday: Cloudy. Chance snow/rain. 35.
Thursday: Cloudy. Chance rain/snow. 37.
Snow should arrive after 8 am and end around 2 pm if not before. This makes for a decent commute to and from school/work as the clean up will be relatively easy: plow it or shovel it, the rest melts off quickly as temps rise to the middle 30s.
Accumulations look good at 3-5".
This will be a fast and furious shot of snow. It will quickly increase to heavy to very heavy snow at times for 3-4 hours. And then it will taper off and end rather quickly too.
Will winter take a break? Is winter ending this week? Lots of speculation going on, and that is all it is ... speculation. Anyone who thinks winter is over, should take a deep breath and stay calm. It is not yet over.
To start, Sunday will be nice. Sunny. Then clouds roll in at night, and snow, which will be heavy at times arrives Monday after 10 am and continues for about 6 hours. A fast moving, but potent "frontal" system. A wave forms along it and becomes a powerful storm once well NE of the US.
No real cold air behind this storm. A few snow showers Tue then mild Wed with sunshine. Cold front passes on Thu. A follow up system may try to move along this front and give us some rain/snow. Hard to tell right now. Then maybe another snow/rain system Sun/Mon time frame.
Winter is not over. Several inches are possible on Monday, and then there are chances for snow/rain later in the week. We will ease out of this pattern. And I don't think it will be doing so rapidly. But since the days are getting longer, more daylight, higher sun angle, the days until spring arrives is decreasing.
Sunday: Cold morning. Mostly sunny. 33.
Monday: Snow arrives late morning. Heavy at times. 3-5" snow. Ends by 6 pm. 34.
Tuesday: Sun and clouds. Snow showers possible. 36.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Mild. 46.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy. Chance for rain showers. 45.
Friday: Mostly cloudy. Chance for snow/rain.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. 32.
Noon Update: Storm going as expected so far. We had the moderate to briefly heavy snow this morning. Now the sporadic snow will be prevalent through 6 pm. It appears more sporadic than first thought. I was not expecting much accumulation this afternoon. Maybe 1".
Part 2 comes later this evening into Fri morning. How much comes is still questionable. I believe we will end closer 5" than the 8".
Accumulation through Friday 7 am: 5-8”.
Note: This is not a big storm. It will not dump huge amounts of snow. Yet it will snow and it will snow for awhile. It will snow lightly for the most part. 5-8" is a good storm.
Concerns: I do not feel all that confident in this forecast. Reasons:
After the storm ends by sometime Friday, we get a nice weekend. Cold, but nice. Then another storm on Monday. Wouldn’t be funny if the storm next Monday brought us more snow than these last two "bigger storms" combined? It could happen. But first things first.
Thursday: Snow. Heaviest in the morning. 26.
Friday: Periods of light snow. Storm total snow 5-8” with locally higher amounts. 32.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Cold. 26.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Cold morning. 28.
Monday: Snow likely. 34.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. 36.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. 38.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.