Some take aways from the forecast.
Thu/Fri forecadt turned out very well. Got the rain, and it did change to snow. But it was not much. As expected.
Now we move on to another active week. Most systems are weak. Bringing rain and or snow showers. Nothing big.
Bigger system Thu. With cold air available, so is likely at the start. Will it Change over to sleet then ice then rain? Possible. Details to come.
Quick update this morning.
Rapidly strengthening storm will move NE right over us or just to our east. This makes for a potentially dicey forecast. Details:
1.Heavy rain through 10 am. That is the easy part.
2.Between 10 am – 1 pm rain changes to snow. But when? Tough call. Elevation will also play a role.
3.1 pm – 4 pm light snow showers end.
It is unusual to have the rain change to snow when we are near or above 40. But this set up is not usual. I still would not be surprised to see it end as a mix of rain and snow in the valleys and that is it. But I do think we get a burst of snow just before it ends this afternoon. We will have to see.
Note: If it does give a good burst of heavy wet snow for 30 min or more, be reminded that wet snow will accumulate on roads quickly. An early change over could be a mess. Again, elevation will also be important.
If you are looking for sunshine the next 3 days ... happy hunting. Don't expect to find much. Here are some details about the next few days ...
After that, a decent Sat. Cooler. But seasonal. Weak disturbance could bring a snow shower Sat night. Then a stronger system bring snow just to our north on Sunday evening/night. We get mix light snow/rain or all rain.
If you are looking for snow … head north. Just don’t see much of any real chances for our area over the next two weeks. Maybe it will change. But honestly … not looking good. I’m beginning to look forward to warmer weather and spring. What about you?
First full week in Feb will feel and look a lot like January: mild/warm for a couple of days, then cold rain, some sleet/freezing rain and no snow. When it is all over no real cold either. Just seasonal.
Snow will depend on just the right timing. Perhaps the right timing might appear later next weekend. But being a 6 days away ... it might just disappear like many others have.
Oh well, if it doesn’t want to snow, might as well be sunny and in the 50’s so you can do some outdoor work.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.