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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Winter Begins Early

11/10/2014

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This is not hype. Winter will being early this year. In fact when we look back next April, most of us will be talking about how winter started before Thanksgiving.  The cold is coming and coming to much of the United States.  The upper flow in the atmosphere will continue to pump cold arctic air into the US for at least the next 14 days and probably beyond, before easing, then reloading. But I am getting ahead of myself.  
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The two pictures you see to the left are not verbatim forecasts, just an example from the models how this cold pattern is expected to last. The blue lines represent "Cold" air. The deeper into the blue you are, the deeper the cold. If you notice much of the nation into through next week (16, and 21st shown here) are dominated with blue or cold air. This is something to get used to this winter: cold. 
Back to the current week: For us the cold will come in waves. The first begins Thu, the second Fri with some light snow (up to 1" at most ... but first snow). The next comes around the 19th for us. Until Thursday .... enjoy the mild temps. It will be quite nice, esp. Veterans day. 


To all our Veterans ... THANK YOU AND GOD BLESS YOU!!!


Weekly Outlook:

                                High:                     Low:                      Weather Details

Monday:              58                           37                           Mostly sunny, milder

Tuesday               63                           44                          Sun and clouds. Milder again. SW winds pick up.

Wednesday        55                           28                           Breezy. Possible stray shower. Partly sunny.

Thursday             45                           31                           Colder. Breezy. Sun with increasing clouds. Light

                                                                                              snow after midnight.

Friday                    38                           25                           Light snow ending.  Mostly cloudy with afternoon

                                                                                               clearing   

Saturday              39                           22                           Cold with mostly sunny skies.     

Sunday                 40                           27                           Sunny and cold for mid-November.     

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Discussion Points:

1.       Pleasant weather Mon-Wednesday.

2.       Turning much colder as arctic invasion of the US hits us Thursday and lasts for the foreseeable future. Welcome to the winter pattern. It is starting early this year.   

3.       Upper level wave associated with secondary arctic front likely to create some light snow for our area Thu night-Fri. Not a big storm but the first snow is always a big deal. 1” or less.  

4.       Fri - Sat cold, windy with clouds and sun.

5.       Sun – Tue is a time period to be wary of. There could be a system moving out of the Southern Plains/Gulf of Mexico region. This could give us our first winter storm of snow/ice/rain. The potential is there, but it is just as likely to be pushed out to sea due to the strength of the cold air.
 
   

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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