Weather thru Oct 20

Good Friday lunch time!  I'm taking a few minutes to update things on the forecast. It rained last evening, as expected, and quite heavily too for  few minutes. The change is to up temps into the mid 60s for Saturday, and keep the mention of a couple light showers. Sunday's forecast looks good as it is. 


Next week heads up. Monday and Tuesday look decent. A dry week for the most part. Some showers will be around, but nothing major at all. However, the temperatures may not get out of the 40's for Wed-Thu. Some really cold air is coming. The worst will be to our west. Snow may fall to the east of the Great Lakes and don't be surprised to see some white flakes floating around then either. No major warmth is coming next weekend either. I still think this cold will relax and then reload and lock in during the second half of November for the first half of winter. But be ready for the shock of next week. But it is the later half of Oct. So I guess we should expect some chill. 


new forecast out Saturday. 

Good Wednesday afternoon!  It is cloudy and it is time for an update on the weather. 


The system for Thu is coming and all forecasts are on board with this. It is fun to watch this evolve as it was supposed to head out to sea off the NC coast back Monday morning and give us nothing.  I felt it would be much further NW and give us some rain. Sure enough it is so far back to our area that the weak wave will pass right over head. The rain should come in very late afternoon or early evening and continue through around midnight.  Friday should be as forecast below. 


Sat will be a little milder, but cloudier and perhaps some showers into the evening. Highs should be in the low 60s with increasing clouds and possible showers late. 


Sunday still looks good as forecast. 


Watch out for some real chill next week!  It is looking pretty cold. 

Happy Monday Morning!  

Not a bad week last week, when you think of Tue, Wed, Sat and Sun!  Mon, Thu and Fri were quite wet indeed. The original forecast for a storm to impact our area and for us to be on the edge of the heavy rain was very good (when many said nothing about it last Mon).  The details were not perfect, but a very good forecast for those days. Grades: Mon: A=; Tue: A, Wed: B+; Thu: B (A for update, but C for original details); Fri: A, Sat: A, Sun: A.       

Overview for Coming Week:

Fall is certainly here and here to stay. Not a real wet week except for Thu, but not warm either. In fact it will grow much colder by the end of the week and into the weekend.  A strong upper trough will be created over the central US, bringing some more snow to the Rockies and to the Northern Plains. We will be on the eastern edge of this trough. With it comes the coldest air this fall, bringing frosts and freezes to large areas of the central US and even to our area.

The strong front will come through Wed night and a wave of low pressure should develop along it bringing rain to us on Thu. Most modeling is pushing it to our east. I think it will be further NW and closer to us bring a dose of rain Thu. After that, the cold air will be reinforced by a weak front on Sat bringing frost/freezes to our area Sun night/Mon morning.  

Specifics:

Monday: Partly sunny, seasonal. Daytime highs near 66. Mostly cloudy at night. Nighttime lows near 49.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, seasonal. Daytime highs near 66. Mostly cloudy at night. Nighttime lows near 50.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy.  Daytime highs near 64. Cloudy at night with showers. Nighttime lows near 52.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy. Steadier period of rain arriving during the day. Becoming cooler late. West winds increasing at night. Daytime highs near 62. Nighttime lows near 45.

Friday: Partly cloudy, breezy with a passing sprinkle in the afternoon. Daytime highs near 61. Nighttime lows near 40.

Saturday: Partly cloudy, breezy with some sprinkles possible in the afternoon. Daytime highs near 56. Nighttime lows near 37. 

Sunday:   Mostly sunny, but chilly with some puffy clouds around. Daytime highs near 56. Clearing at night. Nighttime lows near 34.

Hint thru October 27: Much colder weather will dominate. A significant rain system may impact us early in the week ushering in some very cold air behind it. This ought to end the growing season with a hard freeze. The air will be cool enough to bring a few snow showers to the mountains and around the Great lakes. Maybe a flake or two around here?  Regardless of the show flake idea, it will be much colder and will remind us that winter is indeed coming.  This coming cold will be centered to our west, but chilly here. I think it will back off after this before returning and settling in for the early part of winter.