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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Very Cold and Windy then a Mess

12/14/2016

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I think I am beginning to see a pattern here. It snowed last evening and night, but not here. Just off to our NW it snowed quite nicely. We are in the extreme SW corner of Schuylkill County, just north of 81/78 split. Notice the nice heavy band of snow not far away, but it is moving NE, not east.

A strip of 2-4” of snow ran through Pittsburgh, Altoona, State College, Williamsport, Binghamton and Albany. That was the center line. And if anyone noticed, there was only a passing mention of snow in those areas Monday evening. So I guess its better to err on the side of caution and not be hit with a "where did this come from?"

Remember: The little systems can surprise you … but are tricky to predict. I thought we would be on the southern side, and would get some light snow. Not much, but at least something. Well, it didn’t. So it seems that it wants to snow just to our N/NW right now. Unlike last year where it wanted to snow here; what I mean is that when it did snow it outdid the forecast. So far this year, that is happening just to our north. I will keep that in mind for Saturday’s storm.

Rest of the forecast looks like this:
  1. Nice today with some sunshine and clouds. Turning colder late tonight as arctic front arrives.
  2. Thursday: Very cold. Strong gusty winds. Snow showers and a few squalls are very possible. A squall could put down a quick 1” if you get one.
  3. Friday: Less wind. More sunshine. Very cold. Clouds increase Friday night with snow breaking out after midnight.
  4. Saturday: Very large storm impacts us in two pieces. The first piece come Sat morning into the early afternoon. Snow, which could be moderate to heavy until mid-morning, changes to sleet and freezing rain and then ends around midday. Very light rain/freezing rain or drizzle for the afternoon. Temps rise from 20 at daybreak to mid-30s by 6 pm.
  5. Sunday: The second piece arrives with rain in the morning. Cold front moves through by midday, and temps rise into the 40s but fall late as arctic air returns.
  6. Monday and Tuesday: More sunshine and cold weather. Clouds increase on Tue as weak storm tries to move up from the south. Not sure if it will impact us or not.

An active pattern that features cold air, warm air, snow, squalls, rain, sleet and freezing rain. And if you want a white Christmas might want to hope for a good dump of snow Sat morning, otherwise it may not happen. Enjoy the sunshine and clouds today. 

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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