Thanksgiving Outlook

Discussion:  

Thanksgiving is practically upon us and the good weather will hold through Friday for us as temps run for 60. Some really nice weather … please enjoy it.

And you had better enjoy because changes are a brewing and they will come fast and furious.  This weekend will feel like winter with a cold wind and very cold air that is coming from NW Canada.  It is an arctic air mass, one that the American models (GFS) will miss on how cold it really is until a day or two away. This is why in some public forecasts you already see a downward trend from forecast highs in mid 40s a couple days ago to today's 40. But that is not low enough. Expect highs in mid 30s all weekend at best … nights will be into the low and mid 20s. Snow showers possible as well. No accumulation is expected.

Beyond that a cold wet storm will likely move out of the southern plains and move either right over us or just to our N. Tue-Wed next week. Some good snows will hit portions of the Midwest and Ohio Valley up into southern Canada. But a cold nasty rain is most likely in the offing for us. More cold air will come after that ... 

With the pattern that is unfolding snow is increasingly likely as no major warm ups are seen once the cold hits …  

 
Here is my forecast:  

Tonight: partly cloudy … slightly milder … lows near 32

Wednesday: becoming mostly sunny … a touch milder highs near 54

Wednesday night: mostly clear … cool … lows near 31

Thanksgiving Day: mostly sunny … pleasant … highs near 57

Friday: Sunshine giving way to clouds … becoming quite breezy … mild … highs upper 50s to 60

Friday night: a rain shower … turning colder late … lows down to 37

Saturday: much colder … windy … flurries and a passing snow shower esp. late … highs around 37

Sunday: Sun and clouds … clearing late … flurries early … less wind … cold … highs around 36

Monday: after a cold start … nice sunshine … milder … highs near 42 …

Until Friday …