Sunshine to Dominate

The easiest forecasts are the sunniest forecasts. So the next seven days appear to be pretty straightforward. The only questions come next Tue and next Fri/Sat. Otherwise its sunshine, sunshine, sunshine.

This of course leads us to the reality that so far through 2/3rd of June we are averaging about 1 degree above average for the month and a little below average in precipitation. That is matching up well with the overall summer idea I have had.  I see little to change that. In fact the further NE you go the drier it seems to be getting, which may hint at a hot end to summer and early fall, and that may lead to active season for tropical storms and give us a wet fall. But that is way out there. Let’s deal with the next week first!

High pressure will dominate today, Sun and Mon. A cold front will approach on Tue sparking showers and thunderstorms. It will get hot, but this front will cool us off again. The heat does look to come back late next week, but could a low pressure area bring rain instead as the stubborn eastern Canada low remains in place? 

My original idea was that this low would shift out to the N-NE, but it may not. Time will tell.We'll know more by Monday.
 
Points for Next 7 Days:

1. Surge of Heat:  A chunk of the central states heat will surge NE Sunday into Tuesday. Temps around 90 Mon and possibly Tue, depending on timing of clouds/showers with cold front.
2. Cooling Off:  The heat shifts into the Western US, as cooler air invades the east once again.
3. Front Stalling?  The cold front that moves through Tue may stall to our south and become a focus for showers and storms for Wed also. If a wave were to move along that then Wed would be wetter here. I do not see that happening at this time, but this will not be a major feature, so it may not become clear until Monday.
4. End of Week Soaker? As has happened the last couple of weeks, it may happen again. A low pressure moving along the boundary of the heat and cool brings the potential for a decent rain late in the week. With most of the rain to our SW and much less to our NE. Like we have been seeing.   

 
Details:

Rest of Today: 85. Sunny. Warm.

Sunday: 88. Sunny. Very warm.  

Monday: 90: Sunny. Hot and more humid.    

Tuesday: 88. Sun and increasing clouds. Hot and humid. Showers and thunderstorms likely.   

Wednesday: 78. Mostly sunny. Cooler. Breezy.       

Thursday: 80. Increasing clouds. Chance of showers.   

Friday: 75. Mostly cloudy. Chance for showers/thunderstorms.   

Saturday: 80. Mostly sunny. Pleasant.