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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Summer 2016 Continues

9/10/2016

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One more day of heat and humidity today, then a late night/early morning cold front passes through bringing much cooler air for Sunday and Monday. But guess what?  The ridge rebounds quickly and we warm up for Tue and Wed.

Now Wednesday is a a little tricky. If the expected cold front moves through early in the morning, then our high temps stay around 80. But if the front moves through later in the afternoon then our high temps make a run for 90 once again. I am leaning toward the later because that ridge will likely not break down as fast as some models are showing. It has been a warm summer and very warm start to September. Not going to rush the cooler air.

Behind that front is the coolest air we have seen in some time. Believe it or not we will have a below average day temperature-wise. Actually make that 2 days!  Haven’t seen that too often. But is will warm up quickly on Sat and into Sunday before another front approaches.

If you could draw our weather pattern right now it would look like a wave of the ocean. Western trough, eastern ridge. Now it shifts some from time to time, but over-all we are under the influence of the ridge, and the main trough position is to the west. The maps above illustrate this quite nicely. 

Also the next 7 days will continue the over-all theme of dry. Some in our local area have been blessed with rain Wed night, and Friday night. But many through our region of the state had have very little to no rain for the month so far. A chance of rain tonight, Wed and next Sun is about it. The best looking signal is next Sunday, but that is 7 days away so things could change.  
 
Points for Next 7 Days:
  1. Chance of Thunderstorms: Today. Nothing widespread. Hit and miss if they develop. Showers possible late tonight, but they will be weakening as they move through if they last that long.   
  2. Cooler: Sun and Mon. Clearing skies Sun morning. High temps both days around 80 with low humidity.
  3. Warm Up: Once again, as has happened often this summer, temps rebound back into the mid and upper 80s for Tue and Wed, respectively.  
  4. Fall-like? Thu and Fri. High temps Thu around 70, and Fir around 75. Low temps at night into the 40s!
 
Details:

Today: 90. Partly sunny. Hot. Humid. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm.     

Sunday: 81. Partly to mostly sunny. Less humid. Refreshing breeze.     

Monday: 80. Sunny. Beautiful. 

Tuesday: 84. Mostly sunny. Warmer. 

Wednesday: 87. Partly sunny. Breezy. Hot. Humid.  Chance for shower or storm.     

Thursday: 70. Mostly sunny. Cool. Breezy.     

Friday: 75. Mostly sunny. Beautiful.

Saturday: 84. Mostly Sunny. Warmer. 

Sunday: 83. Increasing clouds. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. 
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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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