Note: I put a range for today because the line between cloudy, cool and mostly sunny, warm is very close to us. And right now the clouds do not seem all that thick, but that can change. I am hoping for some warmth and sunshine, but I remain some what skeptical.
Some observations for the first 14 days of February:
This means a soaking rain late today through Fri morning and another moist system for late Saturday afternoon and night. As has happened, neither storm will be strong, but moisture is available. One will be rain the later Saturday will be snow.
Much of what I am sharing is based on observation, not models. In fact, there was virtually no support for the Saturday system until Tuesday/Wednesday of this week. Observations do beat computers. It is sad when forecasts are made that are a virtual carbon copy of what the computer says will happen …
Forecasting cannot start with models. It must start with observation. Some more observations below:
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.