October 19th, 2012

Friday Evening Weekend Forecast:

A little more instability in the atmosphere than expected this evening, as I ran into hail in Myerstown. It was rather impressive, but not damaging thankfully. That’s what happens when you get lots of warm sun, warm ground temperatures and cooler air aloft (cold pool) in the upper atmosphere. The contrast makes for strong instability. It does make me wonder a little bit about tomorrows forecast. If we get some decent sunshine, will we get heavier showers?  Regardless, if it does rain tomorrow … it will be worth it with the run of beautiful weather for next week.  

Here is the local forecast:

Tonight: Some evening showers/thunderstorms, then varying amounts of clouds, still relatively mild with temps only dipping into the lower 50s. Colder air is filtering in, but it will take its time establishing itself.    

Saturday: Some sun then becoming mostly cloudy. Cooler, and becoming breezier. Highs around 60. A shower is possible, but they should be light. Most of us will stay dry.   

Saturday night: Gradually clearing skies. Cooler, but with a dying wind. Temps dropping to the lower 40s.

Sunday: Sunshine and clouds, but clouds clearing out, by the afternoon. Very nice and seasonal for middle of Oct. Temps into the lower 60s.

Sunday night: Clear, calm and cool. Lows should drop into the mid 30s under star lit skies. This will be the coldest night until next weekend.  

 

Extended:   

1.       Mon – Fri will be about as good a five day stretch as you get near the end of Oct around here. Lots of sunshine most days, warming temps from near 70 Mon to the 70s Tue – Thu and maybe even Fri.

2.       It is possible that some clouds come off the Atlantic (low gray clouds called stratus) putting a lid on our temps Wed or Thu. Just something to watch out for.

3.       Interesting end of the week weather.  Strong front will pass through with thunderstorms and some heavy rain. Meanwhile, a tropical storm will be near the Bahamas. Could that get pulled north, giving very heavy rains to us or New England? 

4.       Behind this front it will feel like a change of seasons. Highs may not get out of the 40s for a day or two, but we are now talking 10 days away.

Until Tomorrow.