Got a few changes to make to forecast, nothing to drastic. The changes can be found below in this red/brick color.
One note I would make is that our Jan Thaw that I put a question mark with, is looking not so warm nor so long at this point. It may be just for a day, like Late Sat to late Sun. Not etched in stone, but one mild day on Sun does not a thaw make. Also, Sun night into Monday is certainly a day of interest and intrigue for potential. Have to let that be for another day or two.
Have a great night. Changes are below ....
It will get milder ... but relative to what?
Compared to this past week, most weeks in winter will feel milder. In fact 35 degrees will feel warm after the days of teens and winds of this week. So next week will feel milder as each day will reach the mid twenties for highs as a minimum and then a mild 3-4 days could occur starting the 18th! Jan thaw?
Until then we have some weather to go through. And believe it or not, despite the cold ... it may even rain on Monday :(
Here are the details and talking points:
High: Low: Weather Details
Monday: 33 20 Cloudy with light snow, changing to freezing rain, then plain rain (hard to believe how the cold has retreated this winter when decent moisture comes north. Hard to get good snows)
Tuesday 25 10 Sunny and chilly but not unusual for mid-winter.
Wednesday 26 17 Mostly cloudy to partly sunny in the afternoon.
Thursday 34 25 Partly to mostly sunny as coastal low stays out to sea.
Friday 36 12 Seasonal with sun and clouds. Growing colder again.
Saturday 33 18 Mostly sunny. Seasonal.
Sunday 38 20 Becoming cloudy, breezy. Milder. Front passing late. Rain/snow possible at night.
1. Warmer week ahead, but still below average.
2. Nasty day Monday with weak storm and moisture moving NE over us. Cold air will be retreating Sun into Mon but then pushing back in the afternoon/evening. How much will cold retreat? Tough call, as high to support is not to our north but to our east. Light snow will start Sun night into Mon morning, but then could change to freezing rain. Tough forecast, as 25 miles north/south will make difference for rain or snow or ice. This is not a big storm though (.25” - .50” of melted precip.)
3. Tue – Wed will be chilly but nice with plenty of sunshine and cold nights but seasonally chilly afternoons.
4. Thu-Fri is another tough call. There is potential for a coastal low to develop and dump some snow on us. Tricky set up, but definitely possible. So that is why I will mention it.
5. Sat – early next week will feature a warming trend to above normal for about 3 days next week. This is not a permanent change. More like a reload of current pattern will be taking place. Expect temps to be in the 30s over the weekend to the 40s and one day near 50 by Wed.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.