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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Let the Hysteria Begin

7/10/2019

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Let the hysteria begin. Although it has already begun. For example:
  1. Excessive heat warning for Philadelphia last weekend. Highs were in the low 90s. Heat index (very subjective from person to person) reached 100 for couple hours or so. This is barely heat advisory criteria according to NWS standards at Mt Holly forecasts for Philadelphia. The area never came close to the 105-110 heat index values needed for excessive heat warnings. Yet, they issued one anyway.
  2. Heat advisories for Dallas, Texas. They had a high of 98 yesterday. The average high is 95. So an advisory for heat that is 3 degrees above average?  Wow.
  3. Climate change already blamed for a tropical storm that has not even formed yet in the Gulf of Mexico.
  4. Talk of brutal heat wave in the NE US next week or about a week away. We’ll roast some say.
It is eye rolling the “hysteria” that is occurring over summer weather. What would happen if we ever reached 113 which is the PA state record?  The hysterics would be off the charts …

Moving on to more important things … the actual weather itself.

The forecast has it well in hand. A few adjustments for the weekend to lower the temps a couple of degrees due to a very weak boundary moving through Sun. This will keep the bigger heat away from us through Mon.
First things first:
  • Thursday/Thu night: Humid. Showers and storms likely. Some heavy with gusty winds. If showers are around early, the temp forecast is about 5 degrees too high.
  • Friday/Saturday/Sunday/Monday: Nice summer weather. Sunshine, a few clouds. Lower or lowering humidity. Warm.
  • Tuesday/Wednesday: Hotter. More humid. Frontal boundary nearby. It may move through or stay to our north. So chances are there for a shower or a storm. Chances are low though.
  • Thursday: Likely the day for some remnants of likely tropical system to be Barry moving through in some fashion. But this is beyond the current forecast time. Just a heads up.  
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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