But where do we go from here?
Well, some sun tomorrow as stalled upper low lifts out to our north and then east. A shower is possible, but unlikely. Mon and Tue look very nice indeed with lots of sunshine, a few clouds, and “warmer” temps near 70 degrees. Wednesday also looks good, but a change will be starting on Wed.
A deep easterly flow looks to develop in the pattern between the big high to our NE and the large circulation of Major Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean. This flow will push clouds and eventually some moisture our way for the end of the week. This looks to start Wed, with each day after seeing more clouds and greater chances for shower activity increasing over the previous day. So Fri looks cloudier and wetter than Thursday, which looks cloudier than Wed.
What happens to Matthew?
I still doubt it will drive into our area directly. I believe it will stay offshore, however, the closer it stays to the east coast, the more rain we are likely to see due to moist east flow and interaction with cold front arriving next weekend from the west. Again, I think Matthew will stay away, threatening North Carolina and far SE New England, but avoiding us. However, indirect impacts indicate showers Fri, Sat and into Sun.