Good Saturday Morning!
It is another cooler, and wet day today. One last one before we start to see improvement. These last couple of days have been quite the shock to our systems. A week ago we had temps in the upper 80s on Friday with a hot breeze. It was like summer never let go. Now it’s a distant memory as the heat has come on in the house (although very briefly). The rain has been much appreciated though.
But where do we go from here?
Well, some sun tomorrow as stalled upper low lifts out to our north and then east. A shower is possible, but unlikely. Mon and Tue look very nice indeed with lots of sunshine, a few clouds, and “warmer” temps near 70 degrees. Wednesday also looks good, but a change will be starting on Wed.
A deep easterly flow looks to develop in the pattern between the big high to our NE and the large circulation of Major Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean. This flow will push clouds and eventually some moisture our way for the end of the week. This looks to start Wed, with each day after seeing more clouds and greater chances for shower activity increasing over the previous day. So Fri looks cloudier and wetter than Thursday, which looks cloudier than Wed.
What happens to Matthew?
I still doubt it will drive into our area directly. I believe it will stay offshore, however, the closer it stays to the east coast, the more rain we are likely to see due to moist east flow and interaction with cold front arriving next weekend from the west. Again, I think Matthew will stay away, threatening North Carolina and far SE New England, but avoiding us. However, indirect impacts indicate showers Fri, Sat and into Sun.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.