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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Dry then Wet, but not Colder. 

11/14/2015

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The pattern over the next 7 days will feature one big storm slow moving storm will emerge out of the Southwestern mountains, and slug its way NE.  It will be chilly out west, and mild in the east. This will again set the stage for some another severe weather outbreak this coming week.  In other words lots of similarities next week with this past week. 

One thing I am noticing is that the higher heights are pushing further to the northeast toward Greenland and NE Canada.  This is a slow process, but there are signs of potential blocking or a blocky like pattern developing over the next few weeks. This will likely lead to a mild to warm Canada, esp. eastern, but cool to chilly US, esp. southern.  The storm track with this pattern would also be pushed further southeast or storms that try to move through the Great Lakes have some kind of wave or redevelopment off the NJ coast. This new storm would become the main storm tracking east and around the block.

This does not mean snow necessarily, but eventually it will. For now November will continue mild. But this is expected. Dec will feature mild, but also increasing cold.
 
My Weather Points for the Next 7 Days:
  1. Calm:  It will seem calm Sunday through Tuesday as Big Ole High pressure controls our weather. 
  2. Moderation: Chilly Sun and early Monday, but milder with temps into the 60s by Wed if clouds do not dominate. See next point.  
  3. Clouds: It is possible low clouds invade more quickly Wed leading to lower temps. Thu and Fri will also be cloudy.  
  4. Rain:  Big storm in the Central US (producing severe weather and some flooding issues) will come east but weaken some. It will bring heavy rain on Thursday. I expect 1-2” with locally higher amounts.      
  5. Mild Weather:  The Central US storm will bring snow and possible blizzard conditions to sections out west, but that cold will struggle to get into our area next weekend. A second storm will develop over the weekend and bring some rain around Sun before the colder air can arrive.     
 
Sunday: 56. Mostly sunny. Cool but pleasant.

Monday: 59. Mostly sunny. Milder.                    

Tuesday: 53. Partly to mostly sunny.    

Wednesday: 60. Partly sunny then mostly cloudy. Very mild overnight with temps above 55.

Thursday: 64. Cloudy with heavy rain. Mild. Breezy.            

Friday: 55. Clouds giving away to partial sunshine.          

Saturday: 56. Partly to mostly sunny. Pleasant.

Sunday: 59. Mostly cloudy. Showers possible.

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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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