The State of PA has declared a drought watch for our area. See map. It shouldn’t surprise us too much, it has been a dry summer outside of what happened the last week in July. It is nice seeing a dry brown lawn turn moist and green again. But it’s now been dry since Tue for most and could stay that way until at least next Wed at the earliest.
At that time a surge of tropical moisture, will come north and make for a very humid end of the week. Combine that with a frontal boundary nearby to the north and there will be chances for very heavy showers and thunderstorms each day Wed – Sun. It may not rain every day in everyone’s back yard, but when it does it could dump a lot of water in a short time. Some days the showers/storms will be more widespread than others, but that depends on small scale disturbances, that cannot be forecast at this time.
Now this is where it could get real interesting: A trough may try to pick up the tropical disturbance that is likely to be lingering along the Gulf States all next week and lift it north-northeast into our area Sun – Mon. This could bring a lot of widespread heavy rain. Stay tuned.
Of course, this fits the summer forecast: Warmer and dryer on average, outside of tropical influences.
Beside the potential wetness coming after next Wed, the question is how hot will it get? Well, that depends on several factors: Wind direction, cloud cover, and dry ground.
Points for Next 7 Days:
Saturday: 86. Sun and clouds. Chance for a shower or thunderstorm.
Sunday: 84. Sun and clouds. Lower humidity. Nice breeze.
Monday: 82. Mostly sunny. Pleasant. Low humidity.
Tuesday: 84. Mostly sunny. Pleasant.
Wednesday: 86. Partly to mostly sunny. More humid. Slight chance of a shower/storm.
Thursday: 87. Mostly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Friday: 89. Mostly sunny. Humid Chance for showers and thunderstorms.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.