I am talking about today’s rain.
It is raining to our south by the MD border, and it will stay that way through early afternoon. A plus for us … dry and cloudy. By late afternoon the rain will begin to move north and will do so through the night and into Saturday morning. All modeling and forecasts agree with this scenario, however, there is one point I disagree on: amount of rain.
Here is why I think the models and many forecasts are underdone:
I expect an additional 1.5” – 2.5” of rain by Sat evening. There could still be some more showers or even a rumble of thunder Sat night and Sunday, but the coverage will be decreasing.
Sunday looks decent, but Monday looks better. Sunday could end up 95% dry, and Monday dry through 6 pm, but then the showers and thunderstorm chances increase through Wed morning. But after that … a dry stretch of three days or more could take hold. By then, we will need it.
Due to the clouds and rain today and Saturday will be cool with highs only in the 60’s, but with the passage of the warm front, Sunday highs will reach well into the 70’s to near 80. Monday will be similar, but cooler Tuesday, and Wednesday. A warm up then begins as we head toward Memorial Day weekend.
Until then, enjoy and try not to grow mold on ya!
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.