I copied my list of three storms that I was concerned about over the past week (See below) because of the hype over Sat night and Sunday's system and the lack of attention to Tue's system. From earlier this week (see earlier posts for nearly identical list on same 3 systems):
Now the chatter and hype are going again for next weekend (16-17): big snow? Well, the pattern would allow for cold air, southern storm with lots of moisture. So the potential is there, and it is greater than what this weekend’s system showed. I must, however, urge caution. To get a big snow, it has to hit just right. I also see how this could phase with northern energy from Canada and move to our west giving us light snow, ice, and rain.
So yes the potential is there. Time will tell. But first things first ... BEWARE OF THE LITTLE GUY
I am amazed at the complete lack of attention being given to Tuesday's system. This morning there was finally some acknowledgement that this system cannot be ignored. I have been concerned about this one for the last week.
I think many are hungry for their first real snow in the east, so everyone is tripping over each other to be the first to predict the BIG ONE. But BEWARE THE LITTLE GUY. The energy pieces are there. Some southern energy could get involved. It will be close if doesn’t. The northern energy is more prominent, and is more impressive each and every day. As the above models pictures from the UQAM illustrate, 5 days ago (Jan 3) the forecast for Tue evening had nothing. Now all have a decent storm. But we are still 4 ½ days away! Here are my thoughts:
My Weather Points for the Next 7 Days:
Friday: 38. Cloudy. Light rain/drizzle developing late.
Saturday: 41. Cloudy. Any light rain ending with more rain developing after dark. Temps steady or slowly rising overnight. Rain heavy at times.
Sunday: 53. Mostly cloudy. Rain ending. Winds increasing late. Temps steady but falling late.
Monday: 36. Partly sunny. Windy. Colder.
Tuesday: 32. Increasing clouds. Some snow possible after dark.
Wednesday: 28. Any snow ending very early. Becoming partly to mostly sunny. Gusty wind at times. Cold.
Thursday: 27. Mix of sun and clouds. Flurries possible. Gusty wind at times. Cold.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.