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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

August 23rd, 2014

8/23/2014

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One gloomy day today as your can see in the picture to the left, but lots of sunshine for the next 7 days, with one minor hiccup Thu-Fri with the passing of a cool front. 

The pattern is still all blocked up and therefore very, very slow moving. This is what makes the forecast rather tricky for today and into tomorrow. Any rain showers that you get today and into tonight will be very, very slow moving, and although may be very small on radar, it may rain for quite some time. It could also unload quite a bit of rain. Much like a tiny shower did over my house early this morning. It was really small, but it sat over us for some time and dumped a good amount of rain. Looking at the radar to the left (11:03 am) it showed some light and heavy showers around. More will develop in the afternoon. But after today, tonight, and tomorrow morning, the weather is looking great. 

With a slow moving pattern the high pressure that drops south out of Canada, will anchor some beautiful late summer weather for the start of school. It will warm up each day with highs approaching the upper 80s by the end middle/end of the week. A slight cool down for next weekend.

The fly in the ointment could be the developing tropical system in the Caribbean, just north/north-west of Puerto Rico.  This storm could threaten the east coast from Fla to NC.  It is also possible it could impact us with some rain late in the week, but at this point I doubt it. The weaker the system stays the better the chance for some rain to impact our weather, and the quicker it develops the more likely it will stay off shore. Right now I think it will stay offshore, but get close to NC/SC. 

Daily Details: 


Today: lots of clouds, showers around from time to time. Some could be on the heavy side. Drizzle could also be around, esp. tonight. Highs near 73 and low near 63. 

Sunday - Wednesday: increasing sunshine Sunday, and then lots of sunshine with some clouds through Wednesday.  Highs will start near 80 Sunday and warm a degree or two each day (82 Mon, 84 Tue, 85 Wed). Nights will be cooler with lows in the lower 50s Sun and Mon and mid 50s Tue and Wed. 

Thursday- Friday:  a cool front is forecast to pass through our area on Thursday, but I would not be surprised if it got held up until later Friday due to the slow moving pattern we are in. So Friday might also be warm with highs into the upper 80s. This cool front will not have much moisture with it, unless the tropical storm moves close enough to provide more moisture, but I doubt that at this time. If anything, the sinking air to the west of that storm will likely prevent widespread showers and storms in our area, such that the front could pass without much rain at all. 

Saturday - Sunday:  Slightly cooler but very nice. Highs  near 80 and lows in the upper 50s. A good looking Labor Day weekend. 
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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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