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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Winter's Wrath Shall Come! 

1/20/2015

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3" with 4-5" locally coming Wednesday. 

Note: Weekly forecast is below.

The above image is for Wednesday. It is showing  widespread 1/4" precipitation for us tomorrow, and it will be all snow. Not a big now, but the largest most widespread snow of the season. Based on this I would expect the snow to start late morning to noon and continue into the late evening. The heaviest at perhaps the worst time = mid afternoon to early evening. So watch out for that.  

Since this system is not weakening like the last clipper storm of 2 weeks ago that gave 2-3" snow, this one will strengthen and become more moist as it moves east. There will be some heavier bands that develop so at your house you could get a lollipop of 4-5". Most will see 3".  

But this may be just the appetizer as the main course may hit Sat. 

Major East Coast Snowstorm to Hit Sat. Heavy Snow for Us Becoming More Likely. 

For a good 5 days a storm was forecast to soak the Gulf Coast and then head east out to sea off the South Carolina coast. NOT SO FAST! 

All modeling now indicate that this large, wet system will make the turn up the coast. Right now the mao below indicates that we would get some moderate snow, with the heaviest to the east. However, I do think the storm will come closer to us. I cannot forecast amounts at this time (nor would I). But wanted to mention this becasue the app on your phone said sunshine this morning for Sat and then suddenly by evening it might show snow and cold. WHAT HAPPENED?  

Called computer generated forecasts. No human does the point and click or app forecast. And that forecast comes solely off of the GFS model which is the worst at East Coast Storms.  

So as it stands now all modeling shows a major storm, and I believe it will impact our area, possibly significantly.  More details to come. 

FYI:  The image below is the latest model forecast. The one below it is from last night. I think you will see a rather obnoxious difference :) 

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Weekly Outlook:

                           High:                     Low:                      Weather Details

Monday:                

Tuesday               36                          27                          Mostly cloudy. Seasonal. Flurry or two.    

Wednesday        31                           26                          Cloudy with snow arriving midday. Snow ending at night. 
                                                                                            Total snow 3" with 4-5" locally if heavier band develops.    

Thursday             35                           20                         Sun and clouds. Seasonal.    

Friday                   34                           25                          Clouds increasing late. Nice Jan weather.       

Saturday              30                           23                           Cloudy with snow. Could be heavy. Northeast wind.           

Sunday                 29                           15                           Mostly sunny. Breezy and colder behind storm.          

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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