We have a winter storm coming Wed – Wed Night. So lets get to it ...
Big Question: How much snow? A deep conveyor of moisture will be heading our way. Will it be spread out (less snow), concentrated (more snow), come in heavy bands (more snow) or a widespread area of mod/heavy snow (less snow)? There is no way to answer that until tomorrow morning and we see how the precipitation is behaving.
The 4-5” is a forecast that looks solid.. But it could easily be wrong by 2-3” high or low. The transition to sleet, freezing rain, and the amounts, are relatively easy when compared to the snow amount question. Even the models differ from a high of 9" to a low of 2". Not good when it's 24 hours away ...
Rest of the Week:
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.