Winter relaxes, but does not let go. Keep that in mind as we enter into next week. Meanwhile in the deep south: what a mess. Ice is such nasty stuff especially when you don’t have the equipment to handle it, nor the knowledge of how to drive in it. But we are nice and sunny and our temps our trending up! It will feel downright warm this weekend … relatively speaking that is.
I talked about two systems for the weekend. I still expect there to be two, but the timing is off a little. The first should have very little impact on us outside of some very light snow early Sat, but probably nothing except lots of clouds, some patchy ground fog and moderating temps to near 40 as the first systems stays west and north of our area. It is weak, and will travel from the central Ohio Valley through NY and New England. As it passes by, cold air will try to re-establish itself in our area again. This will happen slowly on Sunday, setting the stage for system number 2. See 1st pic below.
The second system will be further south, but on the same NE trajectory. It too will be weak, but it should have more moisture to work with. I expect that one to come overnight Sunday spreading rain/wet snow across southern half of PA. See 2nd pic below
One more storm will impact us on Tue/Wed of next week. This will be a big storm with lots of moisture to work with. At this point I do not expect it to be a snow/ice/rain mixture. But it will have a bit impact on our weather from the southern plains to New England and all points in between and south of that line. See 3rd pic below.
Enjoy the sun! It feels great.
This is the potential system for next Tue/Wed. All modeling is in very good agreement with this storm. Two things are known: 1) Lots of moisture available. 2) Lots of cold air available. Big question: Track west of Appalachian Mountains of east of them. That will determine snow/ice/rain or all snow. Until then, weather pretty calm.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.