Where Will Flo Go?

Hurricane Florence is not going very far very fast leading to a very bad situation in primarily NC. Pray for folks to just be smart and safe. It will end. The water will recede.  

Will Flo or the remnants thereof, impact us?  If yes, how strongly will we be impacted?

First: Yes, the remnants of Flo will come across our area Late Mon - Tue.

Second, a bout of heavy rain may move through Mon afternoon/evening and then a couple rounds of heavy showers/thunderstorms will impact us Mon night through much of Tue. This should lead to a widespread 2-4” with locally higher amounts.

I am going higher than virtually all models, because …

1. We are dealing with the tropical system. Precipitation rates will be efficient, thus under-forecast.
2. This is not a 48-hour duration event. It may rain for 12 hours.
3. Very high levels of moisture in the atmosphere, will be able to unload a lot of rain in a short period of time, esp. if you have S-N moving thunderstorms.

These reasons lead me to believe that flash flooding is our biggest threat. This can lead to river flooding, but not always. The river flood threat should be more west and north of our area.

After Flo moves away, we dry out for two days.

Until then enjoy.