Welcome to Florida

All you need is the sand and ocean and we'd be in Florida! 


Well, not really.


​But if you like this weather … then you would love Florida. Highs in the 90s, and lows in the 70s with high humidity. If you don’t like it … enjoy your AC for a while because this weather is staying around for the most part through Tuesday.
Several Items that need to be addressed:

1. Western Atlantic Ridge:  I said a week or so ago that this ridge would become a dominate player in our weather as we head into September. Well, this pattern is showing why. The ridge is strong and not breaking down right now. It has pushed everything further west than initially thought. Not a lot, but enough to make a forecast difference.


2. Unnamed Tropical System: This system is flooding southern Louisiana. It is fairly robust and is a major player in swamping the eastern US in this tropical air mass. This system has not been handled well by the majority of the models. This system will have to be dealt with. It brings additional energy and moisture. This will bring a very heavy rains (some flooding too) from extreme east Texas to Missouri to SE Michigan/NW Ohio then the St Lawrence River Valley/Northern New England.  
3. Tropical Weather: Have you noticed the blue skies and good visibility?  In such a heat wave with very high humidity like this we often see haze and have poor air quality in the cities. But when in a true tropical air mass it is different. The air is clearer and healthier.

So basically I do not expect a lot of change to occur over the next several days: Very hot and humid for most days. The only thing keeping the temperature down would be clouds and rain.
Limited relief may arrive Mon for a short time, before a resurgence late Mon. This humidity will ease some after Wed, but it will remain humid through next weekend.
 
Points for Next 7 Days:

1. Heavy Showers/Thunderstorms: Today through Wed. Best chances are Sun and then Tue and Tue night.
2. Dry Weather? Today, Monday and Thursday are looking the driest at this time.    
3. Widespread Showers/Storms with Heavy Rain: Sun night and then again Tue and Tue night. First shot is with weak front so the coverage of showers will be lessening as it heads east. The second shot is associated with the tropical system.
4. Concern for Tue Night: As the tropical system moves to our northwest, it may be close enough to spark some very heavy thunderstorms at night which is a trait of tropical systems. We’ve seen this before, and these storms have a tendency to repeat over the same area for a few to several hours. Not sure if this will happen here of somewhere else, but I suspect it will occur somewhere east of the mountains Tue night. This will lead to flash flooding somewhere. By Mon, I’ll have a much better idea.

 
Details:

Today: 94. Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Very humid. Chance for showers and thunderstorms.         

Sunday: 93. Partly to mostly sunny. Hot. Very humid. Showers/thunderstorms likely late and overnight  

Monday: 86. Partly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers/thunderstorms late and overnight.  

Tuesday: 84. Partly to mostly cloudy. Humid. Showers/thunderstorms likely.  

Wednesday: 86. Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers/thunderstorms early.

Thursday: 86. Partly to mostly sunny. Humid.

Friday: 89. Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers and thunderstorms.         

Saturday: 87. Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Chance for showers/thunderstorms.      
 

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