Weekly Outlook - Monday Feb 2, 2015 - Update Wed 7:30 am

Quick update on snow for Thu. The snow will begin late tonight and continue into about mid-morning at the latest. This system will not tap into deeper moisture from the south, so that limits the snow potential, however, models often understate the amount of precipitation east of the mountains for weaker systems, such as this one. 

Expect light snow after 4 am and ending by 9 am. The snow could come down briefly heavy. Temps will be dropping as it snows, leading to a fluff factor. 1-2" is expected at this time, with locally up to 3 esp. towards Tremont on north. 

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Well, the ole' varmint saw his shadow. Yes, that is true. Old Phil was dragged out of his home, and he saw his shadow. This means we will have 6 more weeks of winter. (Of course, if he didn't see it, it would be 6 weeks until spring!). 

Since it's now official,  might as well share the winter news ... more cold, more storms, more snow or mix is coming. In fact we have two good shots at decent snows coming up in the next week: Thu and then again Sun/Mon.  (Yes, weather can cycle in 6-7 day repeated patterns). 

1. Thursday:  new trough digging into the east, and based on what has happened this winter, I expect it to be deeper and stronger than currently forecast by nearly all models. This means more moisture and the possibly mixed precipitation. At this time several inches look possible starting late Wed into the early Thu afternoon. 
2. Sunday into Monday: Yet another trough digging in from the west. This storm has the potential to be quite significant. Would not be surprised since this would make the 3rd straight system to impact the Sun/Mon/Tue period.  Will have to wait on details, but don't be surprised at snow being forecast yet again. 
3. Cold. Cold. Cold.  Very cold, Tue and Friday with moderation both Wed and Sat. It stays cold through the next two weeks for our area. 

Here is my forecast: 

Tonight: Cold and very windy. Winds die down late. Low: 10. 

Tuesday: Cold with sun and clouds. Breezy at times. High 21 and low 16 with clouds increasing overnight. 

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Maybe some flurries or light snow shower.  Not as cold. High 33 and low 25. Light snow possibly arriving late at night.  

Thursday: Snow continuing or developing. High 30 and low 5. 

Friday: Cold. Sun and clouds. High 20 and Low 5 

Saturday: Cold with sunshine. High 32 and low 20. Some clouds could come in late at night.  

Sunday/Monday: Lots of clouds for the most part. Snow developing from possible big storm. More details to come in days ahead.  

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