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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Weather thru September 8

8/31/2013

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Midweek Update: Not too much to change. It is all going according to expectations. It will be a dry week, with lots of sunshine for most days. The only minor adjustment would be to lower temps for Thu and Fri night: mid 40's both nights!  Chilly!  That is about it. Enjoy the week. It will be warmer next week ... nothing really hot though. 

Review of the Past Week:

A more typical August weather pattern the last two weeks: warm and muggy. It was not as wet as it had been the first half of August either, all though it was extremely wet in some areas, just not here.  I was a couple of degrees underdone on Mon-Tue, but storms did try to drop south from NY. They died before getting here.  A few degrees too warm on Wed due to the clouds, but it did not rain as much as I thought it would but we just missed some very heavy rain: Ft. Indiantown Gap got 1.5”+ and Allentown got nearly 3”!  The heavy rain was there. Thu was very good, and Fri was until that heavy rain shower. (Cannot grade this weekend since it has not happened yet) The only heavy rain shower in the whole state! What are the odds?   Grade: A-, since the errors were small.   

Overview:

Very warm and muggy in the eastern edge of a heat wave producing ridge to our west will come to an end this week, as cool air invade the USA from ND eastward. The heat gets squeezed into the Rockies and West Coast.  

One shot of cool will come very late Mon, another Midweek and that one my bring frost to northern New England, if it goes calm at night. No threat here. But that air is chilly.  However, it is in an out and warming up for next weekend, and the Atlantic Ridge builds north. 

Specifics:

Sunday: Partly sunny, humid with a shower or thunderstorm possible during the afternoon. Daytime highs near 86. Nighttime lows near 68.

Monday: Partly sunny, humid with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon and evening into the early part of the overnight. Daytime highs near 88. Nighttime lows near 68.

Tuesday: Becoming partly sunny, slight chance of a lingering shower: much cooler and less humid with a NW breeze picking up. Daytime highs near 80. Nighttime lows near 55.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with some puffy afternoon clouds. Nice breeze during the day. Daytime highs near 76. Nighttime lows near 54.  

Thursday: Secondary cold front moving through early. Some clouds, but staying dry. Northly breeze bringing even cooler into our area. Partly to mostly sunny. Daytime highs near 75, nighttime lows near 50. 

Friday: A beautiful, but cool day. Sun and clouds, with a building breeze out of the north. Daytime highs near 70, nighttime lows near 47.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, beautiful. Daytime highs near 75, nighttime lows near 49.

Sunday:   Warmer with partly to mostly sunny skies. Daytime highs near 80, nighttime lows near 53.

Hint thru September 15: Looks like cooler air from Canada will invade the west bringing an end to the heat, but we stay mild. It will likely become more humid and the East Coast had better watch the Atlantic for Hurricanes as there will be at least one storm lurking. The pattern is becoming very favorable for the development of Hurricanes and for a hit on the East Coast. So far this year it has been a record for the lack of activity globally. Very, very quiet in the tropics this year around the world. But September should be a little more active in the Atlantic (but with no Hurricanes in August it won’t take much to be more active!)
 

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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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