Weather thru Oct 13 - Updated
Midweek Update: The clouds you see now are the forerunner to the pending rain and wind that is coming for the end of this week and into the weekend. Rain should arrive tonight (late) and continue off and on Thu and into Thu night. More showers and rain are likely Fri. It will turn breezy with winds increasing out of the E-SE. Lots of moisture is available. We will be on the NW edge of the heavy rain. Areas in eastern MD, DE, NJ will experience amounts exceeding 3-4". We should expect between 1-2" with locally higher also possible. It will be quite cool as well.
Thu: Rain. Some could be heavy. Breezy and cool. Daytime high: 60. Nighttime low: 56
Fri: Showers/periods of light rain. Breezy and cool. Daytime high: 62. Nighttime low: 56
Sat: Cloudy and breezy. Some showers still around. Daytime high: 65 Nighttime low: 55
The rest of the forecast looks good. Enjoy the weather!
Happy Monday Morning!
We just ended yet another beautiful week! The forecast was ok, but I was too cool, especially at night. I did not expect the summer like humidity to keep temps near 70! No one else did either, so I take consolation in that. I also did not think it would rain (after dark and we needed it too so not too many complaints here). Here are my grades: Mon: B+; Tue: B; Wed: B; Thu: B-; Fri: C; Sat: C; Sun: B.
Overview for Coming Week:
This coming week will be a much tougher forecast, at least that is how it looks at this time. Strong front and upper trough is moving through today. Rain, some of it heavy will accompany this system. Maybe even some thunder will be mixed in. Behind it is a more seasonal kind of air mass. Another big area of high pressure will take over for the midweek, with nice afternoons and cool to chilly mornings.
The challenge comes along the east coast. Major trough cools off the western US and Rockies, and develops a big storm in the northern high plains. More snow for Wyoming and SD and other areas near-by. As this happens, a ridge will arch over our area. This usually means great weather, but trapped underneath this ridge is an area of disturbed weather, that will likely develop into a Nor’easter like system. Will it come far enough NW to impact us? It will impact the coastline from NC-MA certainly. What about Pine Grove?
The options are as follows: Breezy and cloudy with some drizzle or light spits of rain to a heavy soaking wind driven rain. I suspect that starting Thu our weather will deteriorate with low clouds and some light rain. The next question is how long will this hang around? Again it could be for two days or all through the upcoming weekend. There are lots of questions and uncertainty at this time. Updates will be given as this unfolds.
Monday: Cloudy, mild with rain arriving midday. Some rain will be heavy. Expect around 1” of rain. Daytime highs near 74. Clearing and much cooler tonight. Nighttime lows near 49.
Tuesday: M. Sunny. Cooler with refreshing breeze. Daytime highs near 66. Nighttime lows near 43.
Wednesday: M. Sunny. Seasonal for Early Oct. Daytime highs near 65. Nighttime lows near 45.
Thursday: P. Sunny to mostly cloudy. Some light rain/drizzle possible. East winds increasing. More humid. Daytime highs near 64. Nighttime lows near 54.
Friday: Cloudy with some rain around. Heavy rain to our east. Breezy. Daytime highs near 63. Nighttime lows near 60.
Saturday: Clouds and some partial sun. Some early light rain/drizzle. Winds diminishing. Daytime highs near 66. Nighttime lows near 50.
Sunday: Clouds and sunshine. More pleasant. Daytime highs near 67. Nighttime lows near 46.
Hint thru October 13: A cooler week should be on tap, with some potentially very chilly air impacting us early in the week through midweek. Some rain will come with that system, and then drier until again the weekend. Overall not bad for mid Oct. No snow or frost/freeze threats coming that I see. The coldest stays to our west. It should remain that way for the next month. Sometime in November, I expect the pattern to switch to a much colder stormier pattern with should set the stage for a potentially cold, stormy first half of winter.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.