Review of the Past Week:
Tuesday AM update: some tweaks to the forecast were done to lower the overnight lows. Air mass moving in midweek will be really dry and very pleasant. Open the windows!
A nice summer heat wave has ended. I was a little underdone with heat esp. Thu and Sat. It was expected to be hot but not extreme. I still don’t call highs for the most part 95 and under for Thu-Fri extreme, but that is a matter of opinion. The most impressive part of the heat wave was the overnight lows … lower to middle 70s under clear skies. That is impressive. And it is a testimony to the warm Atlantic Ocean and strong Bermuda Ridge. But that is past for now. Grade for week: B+ … heat wave went one day longer and it didn’t rain with the front, but considering the front was forecast from 7 days away … not too bad.
Note: I will not be able to update this coming Sat (too busy with all day VBS this past Sat) so will be doing the update early next week. Thanks.
The heat will leave, and seasonally cool weather will set in place. It will also be wetter this week/ A general trough will establish itself across the east, and a ridge returns to the west.
Monday – Tuesday: more clouds than sun these days. It will still be humid, but mainly because of the rain that will be around. Expect showers and thunderstorms both days, esp. Monday. It will be seasonal with highs near 84 both days. Nighttime lows will be in the upper 60s.
Wed: A nice day with sunny skies, comfortable temps, much lower humidity with highs around 83, and lows near 60.
Thursday – Saturday: Mostly sunny, comfortable and less humid. Temps will start with high in the upper 70s Thu and Fri but warm to near 81 Sat. Overnight lows will drop into the upper 50s with locally cooler spots Thu and Fri night, and lower 60s for Sat night.
Sunday – Monday: More clouds arrive, as does the humidity. It will be partly sunny but giving way to showers and storms. Some will be heavy. Highs remain right around 80, and nights in the mid 60s.
Hint thru August 4: Some heat will try to move back our way into early August. The maps indicate that it should stay out west, but the ridge to our east has been very strong in pushing into our area this summer, so I would not be surprised to see us warm to near 90 with very humid conditions again arriving late in the week. This is the hottest time of the year, so it ought to be warm.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.