The forecast held up well the last few days. Too many clouds to make the temperatures jump to the upper 60s Wednesday, but it was still warm. The severe weather threat was rather weak as I suspected. The upper levels just did not favor our area for this time of year.
What did amaze me was that weather enthusiasts across all walks of life, were disappointed in the lack of severe weather. Some complained about “blown forecasts”. I mean, really? Who in their right mind wants to see damage, or even lives lost? We got some good rain, some thunderstorms, and that was good enough for most people.
Next amazing thing is the proclaiming of nearly endless warmth. I find it confusing. The over-all pattern has not changed. Same story since December. Cool/cold to mild to warm them wash, rinse, redo over a 4-week or so time-period. What has changed? Nothing. So, endless warmth is not happening.
For example, this cold shot of air that is upon us was first proclaimed (by many) to be a brief 2-day cold spell, then the warmth returns. Then it changed to a brief 3-day visit … now it’s a brief 4-day visit. Eventually the warmth will return, so they the proclamation will be correct, but as it appears now, we will have about 5 days of seasonal to cold days in a row. Then Tue is warm, followed by a cooler Wednesday, and chilly Thu and Fri. Could it be that we have entered that 7-10 period of cool to cold weather like we did in Dec, Jan, and Feb? This would then be followed by a 5 to 7-day period of milder weather before the warmth takes over like it has the previous 3 months? Is the 4-week cycle working?
We shall see, won’t we?
Note: Average high temperature for this time of year is now around 44 degrees.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.