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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Tagged Out at Home Plate!

6/23/2016

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As expected the rain did not impact NY State or New England, as it moved to the east - southeast. The further SW you go the more you got and the further NE the less. Again as expected, but it was too far south and west to give us anything of real importance locally. Didn't miss by a lot. 
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The forecast from Monday was pretty darn good, but a miss is a miss. Now it may still shower or storm this afternoon, but the main event is too far away. This original forecast based on the pattern did better than the models, which were all over the place. Even within 24 hours they were still no better than my 3 day forecast. Yet, the rain missed us.  Kind of like being tagged out at home.  So close, yet still an out.

We move on.

It will be warm up Friday, Saturday and Sunday. As the heat builds, so will the humidity, esp. by Monday. But that will also include the chance for showers and storms. The frontal boundary for Mon-Tue will be more easily forecast and should bring rain chances to everyone in the Northeastern US. By Monday/Tue we will need it.
Some places are getting dry.

After the front, it will cool off to the upper 70s to near 80 for a day before warming up again. Not a lot of rain chances coming either as we head toward the 4th of July.
 
Points for Next 7 Days:
  1. Shower/Storm: Chance for a shower/storm this afternoon into the first part of the night.  
  2. Heat Rebuilding: Fri – Mon. Not exactly a heat wave, but very similar to what we had last Fri – Mon.
  3. Rain Chances Increase: Mon – Tue. A slow moving frontal boundary will help pull deep moisture from the south into our area. Locally heavy rainfall possible in any thunderstorms that do occur.
  4. Cooling for a Couple: It will cool off for Wed and Thu.  
 
Details:

Thursday: 75. Mostly cloudy then partly sunny. Chance for a shower or thunderstorm.    

Friday: 83. Mostly sunny. Much warmer.    

Saturday: 85. Mostly sunny. Warm.                

Sunday: 88. Sunny. Very warm. 

Monday: 90: Sunny. Hot and more humid.  Chance for showers and thunderstorms late.   

Tuesday: 84. Sun and clouds. Humid. Chance for showers and thunderstorms.  

Wednesday: 78. Mostly sunny. Cooler. Breezy.  
    
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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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