​Summer Pattern Coming Soon?

There are some rumblings about an air conditioner breakout pattern to come the last third of the month. So if you are looking for warmth, this is what you want to here.  But this may be too fast.  I wouldn’t rush out and buy a new AC unit yet.

So far the forecast has gone pretty well this week. I am a little fast on the arrival of showers today, so that will be pushed back to late tonight, thus it is warmer today (not complaining!) but the idea given on Saturday is still pretty good through this Saturday.

We do seem to be heading in the direction toward what I believe will be the summer pattern: mean trough to the west of the Mississippi River valley, and mean ridge over the Southeast. This puts us in a position for being warm to very warm and drier than normal.

There are hints that by the end of the month, a ridge will be pushing west from the SE US and building over our area as well. This will heat up the eastern 40% of the nation. It would not surprise me to see a run toward 90 by Memorial Day. I am not predicting it, but the potential is there. But this would not happen until after the 25th. Like I said, the warmth for AC use starting on the 21st is too fast by 4-7 days in my humble opinion.

Until then, expect a good shot of showers/storms on Fri and Sat; scattered showers Sun then a potentially wet period Tue – Thu of next week. Enjoy the sunshine today after the fog.

Points for Next 7 Days:

1. Shower/Storms: Friday midday through late afternoon. Saturday afternoon with secondary front.
2. Colder: Healthy shot of cold air coming Sun – Mon. Blustery and chilly Sun with chance of showers.
3. Frost Threat: Chance is there, but nothing too serious. I would err or side of caution, however. [Sunday night is the coldest, but winds will stay up longer keeping temps up, and Monday night looks calm, but air mass is warming quickly].  
4. Warmer and Wet: As pattern shifts, battle zone sets up over our area in a SW to NE fashion. Chances for showers/storms Tue – Thu of next week.  

 
Details:

Thursday: 76. Partly sunny with increasing clouds.      

Friday: 65. Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Showers/thunderstorms likely by midday.   

Saturday: 64. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the afternoon. Colder overnight.             

Sunday: 52. Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Chilly. Chance of brief showers.           

Monday: 54. Mostly sunny. Cool but pleasant.                      

Tuesday: 61. Partly sunny early. Chance of showers in the afternoon and overnight.   

​Wednesday: 66. Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms.   

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