Our dry stretch continues. When I stated that I felt a dry pattern was trying to take hold back in Aug, I still believed it even though we promptly had a wet week. But since then, it has been dry. So far for Sept, I've measured 4/10 of an inch. That is a dry start to the month. You might even notice some lawns stop growing or even turning a golden brown. Dry pattern is taking hold. But how long will it last?
We have chances of rain Wed/Thu and then again on Sat. But when a pattern turns drier, and you only have fronts coming though, you lean drier not wetter in our forecast. Conclusion? Shower or storm is possible on Wed, and likely on Thu but widespread activity is not likely. It should be scattered. Which means some of us will stay dry all week.
Saturday's front looks like it could have a better punch with more widespread showers, but even there, some will only get a little.
Will this drier pattern last into winter? I doubt it. When a change of season comes, it is harder to maintain a drier pattern simply due to the clash of cold vs warm air. But it has happened before, so it could again. We've been wet for a long time, so a dry pattern is historically due at some point. I suspect this dryness is temporary and we will return to normal to above for the Oct and Nov. But time will tell.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.