Well, our St. Patrick's Day will not be white, as it is just to our south in MD. But ours will not be warm and green either. My lawns lovely shade of brown is not all that exciting to look at although I am encouraged by hints of green grass, daffodil and tulip bulbs beginning to poke through the soil finally. So very soon we could look like picture to the left!
But if you are looking for good news about any kind of long term sustained warmth ... well, my mom taught me: If you have nothing nice to say say nothing at all ... so regarding long term warmth ... I say nothing at this time.
Good news: No snowstorm today and no snow through at least Friday. I know you are disappointed. Contrary to popular speech in the world of weather, the storm for today was not crushed. It maintained itself the way I expected it would: lots of moisture, and not real strong, but it tracked about 75 miles further south. Not bad for several day call ahead of time.
For this week:
Monday: Cold with clearing skies. Highs in the mid 30s, and lows in the lower 20s.
Tuesday: Chilly, with sunshine and clouds. High near 40, low in the lower 20s.
Wednesday: Storm moving from the Midwest to the Southern Canada/St/ Lawrence River Valley dragging a cold front through during the day. Expect some showers. Nothing heavy. Chilly with highs in the mid 40s and lows in the upper 30s.
Thursday: Windy with clouds and sunshine. Chilly with highs in the upper 40s and lows in the lower 30s.
Friday: frontal boundary will likely to near us to our south. leaving us with a westerly flow of dry air. And being on the edge of colder air, we will likely warm more than expected at this time. We have done this a couple of times already this month. Highs in the low 50s and lows in the mid 30s.
Saturday - Sunday: A storm system will be in our area over the weekend. It is too early to depict track. Plus there will be a large and sharp temperature contrast. So track will make a very large temperature difference. Too early to call that one.
So far this month has been cold, outside a couple warm days. And the pattern we have been in is not really changing, considering the negative burst of the SOI index, and the MJO moving into phases that promote more of what we have already had. So the monthly temperature outlook is right on target, but the snowfall and precipitation is lagging. I could skip the snow, but the rainfall has been very light. This may change the last week of the month.
Have a great day.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.