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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Some Challenges Ahead

12/12/2018

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Thursday Morning Update: Forecast for this morning should have been "Snow showers" not "light snow".  It does look like we will still see snow in the air later this morning ... but that's about it. Maybe a coating to at most 1" in someone's backyard. Not much. Just an update.

Have a blessed day. 


It has stayed cool, although it was milder this morning than expected. Our cool weather will continue for one more day before a “warm” pattern takes over … for a couple of days. Then chilly again …

First, the light snow for tomorrow. Yes, a weak system that is staying a little stronger than first thought will spread some light snow our way from between 5 am to 2 pm. Most of the snow will be early. It will look like winter, and it will stick to most surfaces. But all in all, not a big deal. Maybe 1” or 2” in the jackpot spots. Roads could be slippery early, but with temps rising above freezing, they should clear easily.

Second, the rain for Friday night into Saturday. It will rain, heavy at times. It will turn milder, with temperatures rising into the 40's. This is not, however, a lasting pattern for our region. We will not get into the warm air (50's and above), due to the storm staying to our south. And with the upper low moving slowly, a new trough digs in behind it bringing more chilly air on Monday through Wednesday.

Third, is there additional rain on Sunday?  The upper level low could stay far enough south that the additional rains from it stay to our south. If it does, we will likely stay mostly cloudy and cool, however, I do not think it will be that far south. I expect it to bring us some light rain on Sunday. I could be wrong. I could be right. We shall see.
Fourth, do we have some light snow coming on Mon/Mon night with new trough coming from the north?  That cannot be answered yet. It all depends on its interaction with the departing upper low from Friday/Saturday’s storm.  

And looking ahead, another storm is possible by the end of the week, ushering in a more widespread chilly weather pattern across the nation. At least that is how I see it.  

Until then, enjoy. 

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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