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12/10/2014

So Close, Yet So Far

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No snow ... at least yet. But no hiding from it. It did not snow at all! Terrible forecast on my part ... for here. But Tue night into Wed was the tricky part of the forecast. a 100 mile shift of the anticipated stalling position of the center of the storm is all it took. This picture shows this mornings radar out of  Binghamton, NY NWS radar. It shows a strong band of heavy snow due north of us. Drop it 100 miles ... and it would be over us.  

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If I graded myself I would do the following:
  1. Storm track: A- (it was more east than most modeling as I expected)
  2. Ice/off and on rain Tue: B+ (less rain than thought, but was on western edge as thought)
  3. Temps: B- (less rain meant warmer temps, but temps held pretty steady at night as expected). 
  4. Snow: D (no snow at all, yet snow band did develop in correct longitude). 
  5. Total: 3.67 + 3.33 + 2.67 + 1 = 11/4 = 2.74 = B-

What to expect the next few days: 
Today: Blustery with some partial sunshine. Temps holding in upper 30s to 40. Perhaps a snow shower late or more likely overnight. Lows near 30. 

Thursday: Still blustery, chilly with mostly cloudy skies. Snow shower possibly in the morning, then again overnight. High: 35. Low: 28. 

Friday: Winds subsiding some, but still gusty at times. Sun and clouds. Chilly. Flurries possible early. High: 36. Low: 26. 

Saturday: Sun and clouds. Seasonal with a breeze at times. High: 40. Low: 26. 

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Seasonally mild. High: 45. Low: 25.

Monday: Mostly sunny. Seasonally mild. High: 46. Low: 30. 

Tuesday - Wednesday: weak, but chilly wet system passing to our south. Some snow in northern PA, but without true Arctic air, no snow for us. 

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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  • Home
    • Contact Us
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    • Quizzing >
      • Quizzing FAQs
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    • Our Facilities
  • Faithful Forecast