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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Post Storm Update 

2/13/2014

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10-14" turned out really good. We got 10.5" here in the valley, so I bet some got more on the ridges.  Now we turn our attention to the next snow: tonight into Saturday. 


The image to your left is the next system. This system concerns me quite a bit. it is more compact, and has less moisture, but these can surprise you. I recall several times in my life where small systems suddenly dump a lot more than one would expect. I will be watching this very closely. If this system is closer to the coast, then our amounts could increase significantly. I am not forecasting that at this time. 

Right now it looks like 2-4" is likely from the early morning hours until 11 am Sat.


We also have to watch out for a potent storm of snow/ice for Tuesday. This system won't be "rain or snow showers." It could be significant as it slides E-SE toward our area. But after that, our warm up begins with the peak of the warmth Sat-Sun. There will be some rain as well.  

Meanwhile here is the forecast for today: Sunshine and temps in the mid and upper 30s. Really nice day to melt some of the mountains of snow we now have. 

Tonight: Clouds increase. Snow arrives around 3 am. Low: 28. 

Sat: Snow ending in the morning. Total snow 2-4".  Some afternoon clearing. High: 32. Low: 12

Sun: Sunshine. Cold. High: 22. Low: 0

 

Really quick update: Heavy snow should last all morning. I still think it will taper off some during the midday and afternoon hours. 10-14" still looks good, but many forecasters are raising accumulations, because of some wild cards:

  1. If the snow remains heavy off and on throughout the afternoon, snow totals will have to go up by 2-3"  
  2. Another wild card is the back side of the storm snow that will be increasing during the evening. If this comes through our area, then it may snow pretty hard again for a few hours after dark. Not sure where this band will develop. It may develop just to our east. It will be close. If it does hit here, then another 2-3" will be tacked on. 
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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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