- Soaking rain.
- Chilly to start, warm surge in between, then chilly afterwards.
- Thunderstorm is possible with passing of cold front.
This above is what to expect Tue – Wed. Rain begins early Tue and keeps the air mass chilly and stable, but warm air will win out by early Wednesday with temperatures rising to near 60, only to end with rain showers and some thunderstorms in the afternoon. It turns much colder for Thu – Sun.
The challenging part of this forecast is the upcoming weekend. Very strong upper level energy will be moving south toward are area on Friday. This will produce some milder temperatures ahead a cold front, and rain showers changing to snow showers after the front passes through.
But what happens to the storm system behind this for the weekend? There are some options:
- Most Likely: It could stay to our south as the cold air pushes well south.
- Possible: It could track just to our south and bring us a snowfall.
- Very doubtful: It could even move to our west and bring a chilly rain.
All 3 ideas are represented by various global models and their ensembles. It is too early to be definitive, although I do think it is likely to be to our south, but how far south? For us to get some snow would not be surprising. The pattern would support a storm approaching our area from the W-SW to a certain degree. We'll know more in a couple of days.
Until then … stay patient. Winter weather is just about done give it another 10 days ... then we move into a more typical, yet cool spring pattern.