Update Fri Morning
Forecast turned out very good in terms of rain, flooding, leaves clogging drains and roads, and wind. I missed on the timing of the front and the cold air. Not bad though. Glad the rains ended when they did. We have a large pond once again behind out church hall. Turned out well to have our Autumn Youth Rally last weekend.
Full update will not occur until Sat afternoon due to schedule. Not a lot of changes anyway. Dry through Monday and likely dry until Thu/Fri. Have to watch the late week system next Fri. Could be pretty cold and maybe see our first snow flakes? Regardless, it will be cool to chilly for most of next week and then cold by next weekend.
It is Nov. Remember to turn the clocks back this weekend.
Update 9 am:
Light mist/drizzle will continue this morning, but more rain is coming. We could get some heavy showers midday then another "break" late afternoon into the early evening. Then heavy rains return with the possibility of some very heavy thunderstorms. If storms materialize, flash flooding of flood prone areas is very possible.
Strong winds develop with front and behind it tonight.
What does that headline mean? Glad you asked.
If you think back the last few weeks, you'd realize that we've stayed in the same kind of temperature regime the whole time. Highs in the 60's for most days. Lows about 45 - 55 with a few exceptions. But all in all, a static pattern. A holding pattern. That is about to end.
This next storm. A big wet one, will take us down a notch. Starting Sat highs will reach 40-50 and drop to 30-40 at night. And a warm-up will bring highs into the 50's. Instead of going back into the 60's, we're more likely to slide even colder. Nov is not looking warm in the first half.
What will this "Notching Down Storm" bring?
Enjoy it. You cannot stop it. So, enjoy it instead.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.