Seasonal Weather Continues

 Yes seasonal weather will continue this week. You might think, seasonal?  It's warm. Perception is powerful. But its not always correct. The early start to the month (1 - 10th) was seasonal but the middle (10 - 18) was warm with a couple of very warm days.  But since Sunday we've been seasonal. Very typical for early winter. And that will continue through the foreseeable future. 

I do not see any surges of warmth making it into our area.  I also see bitter cold air struggling to make it into our area as well.  I wrote in my previous update that the models struggle with changing patterns, arctic air, and blocking. One side effect is the error of bringing the cold air into the pattern to quickly. Many were touting a cold snowy pattern starting mid-month, then end of the month, now early January. The cold is there, but it usually hits the west first, then comes east it takes time.

The other error that occurs is the tendency to push cold air out too fast and ruch warm air in. A few days ago there was talk of 50 deg on Christmas for us due to a storm will to our NW. It was a joke. Not happening, not with that blocking in the pattern. Now its 30s to near 40 with storm tracking near or over central PA. That is quite the change. It could still adjust further SW. We will see.

It should remain quiet through Wed. Then maybe a weak system with some light snow or snow showers for Thu. Not much to talk about except maybe some "mood" setting snowflakes. Then a bigger, but not that big, system for Sat/Sun. Track will determine rain/snow/ice. The further NE you live in PA, the better the chance for some snow/ice, the further SW, the more cold nasty rain you get.

Details:

Tuesday: Partly sunny. 38. 
Wednesday; Partly to mostly sunny. 39. 
Thursday: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Chance snow showers. 36. 
Christmas Eve: Partly to mostly sunny. Increasing clouds late. 39. 
Christmas: Cloudy. Chance brief snow/ice and rain. 36. 
Sunday: Cloudy. Chance rain/ice/snow. 
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. 35. 

​Enjoy.