The first Nor’easter brought heavy rain, heavy snow, strong winds, and coastal flooding. The second Nor’easter will bring some heavy rain, heavy snow, strong winds, and coastal flooding. So, what is difference? The second will be about 70% of the strength of the first.
The difference for us is more significant though. This time instead of a lot of rain, and a little snow, how about a little rain, and a lot of snow?
The details as I see them,
I am not predicting this because the computers models are predicting this. I have had my eye on this storm for a couple of weeks (#2 in a line of 3), and thought it had the best shot at giving us snow. On Sunday, if I regurgitated what the computers said, I would have predicted a miss … then today I would predict a 1-2’ snow blast … I didn’t, and I won’t. I do not regurgitate what a certain computer model predicts.
Conclusion: I have no reason to change my thinking. I have a picture of what I think will happen, and there is no solid reason to make me change my thinking: We are getting a snowstorm.
Details of exact amounts, elevation factors, etc. will be given Tuesday morning (I hope); afternoon at the latest.
Once past this storm, expect some chilly days for Thu into the weekend, before Round #3 hits next Monday … maybe. I say that because the storm cannot go to our west (path blocked) … over us (path blocked) … so it has to stay south. It could stay far enough south that we miss it entirely. But more on that once we are past Wed’s storm.
Until then, enjoy.
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.