A roller coaster is forecast for your amusement. Warm then cooler then warm then cool with some wet tossed in every couple of days. Fits the coming pattern really well ...
Reminder: My winter forecast summary from earlier this week:
- Basic ridging near the west coast and east coast with a trough in the central US.
- Occasionally the trough will push further south and east, due to an amplifying ridge near the west coast. This will bring very wet weather to our area, and possibly provide the focus for some strong to intense storms. Snow/ice/rain will all be possible.
- Cold will come in, but should be centered further west, like it is now.
- Warm/mild air will build in at times, as the ridge in the east builds stronger from time to time.
It is warm now, colder Sat, followed by warm into Monday, then colder Tue, but it should warm again after that. Again, transitory is the key word for this upcoming cold season.
For the shorter term, we have a cold front pushing through our area this afternoon/evening. A shower may occur, but most of us will stay dry, and any shower will be light and brief. A nice fall day is on tap for Sat, but clouds will increase again, as a warm-front approaches our area from the west. This will produce some rain esp. to area NW of us. Some light rain is possible Sat night, but again, don’t expect too much. Sunday could be a lot like yesterday (Thursday) was. Clouds to start, then sunshine comes out later. Monday will be a lot like today (Friday) with clouds increasing as a cold-front moves into the area. This front will have a little more moisture, so there is a better chance for some showers to occur.
For Tuesday/Tuesday night, a wave of low pressure forms along the cold front, slowing its movement, and producing some widespread light to moderate rain. Behind this front and low pressure is much colder air for the rest of the world week, but then a moderation will begin by Friday and into the weekend before another cold front moves through. Wash, rinse, repeat … transitory.
Friday: Partly sunny early then increasing clouds. Chance for a shower late. Mild.
Saturday: Some early sunshine then increasing clouds. Cooler. Breezy. Chance for light rain showers late/overnight.
Sunday. Becoming partly sunny. Mild.
Monday: Partly sunny then increasing clouds. Showers likely. Mild.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Light rain likely.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Breezy at times.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Pleasant early November weather.