Rising out of the Deep Freeze
You must respect the power of clear skies and snow cover, especially when you live in a valley. When you do, always go lower on the temperatures than computer model guidance. That is why I made the comment I did on Thu about temperatures dropping faster overnight.
Result? Well, we just had our 3rd morning in a row of being below zero. The last 4 mornings have been quite something: 1, -12, -7, -2. Snow cover makes a big difference. Same will hold true tonight (not below zero but mid teens in deeper valleys which is about 5 - 10 degrees below computer guidance).
This weekends forecast is well in hand, so I will skip to Monday and beyond for discussion.
In summary our “warm” spell is going to consist of two mild/warm days: Mon, Tue. Then two seasonal days: Wed, Thu. Ending with a mild/warm Fri. Then its back to cold. Sounds like a typical mild winter break if you ask me. Nothing shocking nor noteworthy. Happens every year in some form. No, winter is not over.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.