HAPPY ALL SAINTS DAY!
We got a real good soaking last Wed, and will just miss another soaker. I mentioned on Friday that the storm was too far south on the models. And it appears I was right, but I was incorrect in bringing it this far north. Never thought it would be rain storm for northern New England. So it’s coming north, just not as far as I thought. The rain will not be all that far away. So lots of clouds for Monday. Any additional shift north and it rains. Stay tuned.
One must remember initially models had this storm heading out to sea with the rain only reaching Norfolk. Now Norfolk is in the heart of the heaviest rain, or looks to be. There still is room for it to come a little further north yet. But not enough to bring a soaking rain to our parts. Which is ok. We're wet right now anyhow.
This storm for Monday will likely be an example of the forecasting headaches this winter season. Southern storms coming north. But how far north? Models will not do well. So it will be fun.
After the storm leaves on Monday night, we get a real treat: Warm and dry. 60s to near 70 Tue – Fri. Turning colder next weekend. Toughs will not have staying power as the main trough position is in the west/SW and the mean ridge is over the SE. This means a mild to warm Nov is likely. It will also be on the moist side over-all.
My Weather Points for this Week:
Today: 62. Becoming partly sunny.
Monday: 62. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Rain in Maryland.
Tuesday: 68. Mostly sunny. Warm.
Wednesday: 70. Mostly sunny. Warm.
Thursday: 65. Partly to mostly sunny. Warm. Light shower?
Friday: 70. Partly sunny. Increasing clouds. Breezy. Showers/storm likely after dark.
Saturday: 58. Decreasing clouds. Gusty NW wind. Cooler.
Sunday: 52. Mostly sunny. Cool but pleasant.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.