One snow/ice/slop fall out of the way … and now on to #2.
This coming one for Wednesday will be the larger of the two. The last forecast worked out very well and becomes a good basis for Wednesday’s storm. Why is that? Nothing has fundamentally changed in the pattern. The same flow that brought Sunday’s will bring Wednesday’s system.
I am sticking with a 50% snow and 50% ice/rain ratio for this storm leading to this forecast:
What could go wrong:
After this storm, we have a repeat of Monday and Tuesday’s weather (in the general sense) for Thursday and Friday. Then another storm arrives for Saturday, and this one may be more wet than white, but my confidence in this is rather low at this time. The models have been overstating the northward movement of storms of late. For example, a few days ago the models had Wed’s storm as all rain. I never fell for it, but for the weekend storm … I am uncertain. Some shifts will occur with the flow of the pattern … so things may turn out differently. But we can focus on that once past this storm on Wed.
Until then, Enjoy!
Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.