October 23rd, 2012

Tuesday Evening Forecast:

Commentary:

Today was a great example of the little things that have a great impact in the weather.  No real organized storm systems to speak of, just small scale stuff that really plays havoc on the nice weather. At least today was not cold. Beyond today it should stay balmy at night, but clouds will keep a cap on our temps. 

The extended is where all the speculation currently is focused. Will soon-to-be-Hurricane Sandy get captured by the coming cold upper level trough?  That is the BIG question.  It seems to me that with the deep trough off the west coast and the deep trough well off the east coast that the Hurricane will at least interact strongly with the coming cold. This should at least spin up a storm along the coast and give us a cold rain with snow in the mountains to our west. It will also become very windy. All the fun will focus on Monday –Tuesday of next week.

    

Forecast:

Tonight: Lots of clouds, some showers around. Maybe even a rumble of thunder?  A very mild night with temperatures only dropping to the upper 50s.  

Wednesday: Morning clouds and scattered showers, breaking up to give us a mix of clouds and warm sunshine, temps rising into the low 70s. If we get a good amount of sunshine temperatures could run for the mid & upper 70s.  

Wednesday night: Fair amount of clouds again, and still very mild with lows into the upper 50s.

Thursday: As I’ve worried about for several days, a flow off the ocean will likely send clouds into our area that will hang tough. It will remain dry. A little sun is possible in the afternoon. Mild. Temps near 70.  

Extended Outlook:   

1.       Friday: still warm but will Friday be like Thursday?  

2.       Warmth will last into Sunday.  

3.       If Sandy is completely captured by the trough, then a monster storm will develop with some heavy snows in parts of PA.