October 12th, 2012

Friday Morning:

(From Wed: As this is a new blog, some adjustments will occur as we settle in to “the routine.”  It is obvious to me that I do not have the time to commit to giving full 7 day forecasts with highs and lows every day, plus making daily adjustments.

What I will do is give the next 24-36 hours and highlight things in the future that are being ignored or underplayed in most public forecasts.)

 

Next 24-36 hours:

Friday: After a clearer and colder morning than expected, sun will fade behind clouds and then reappear this afternoon. Cool all day, temps only in the mid 50s at best. Colder, drier air pouring in late setting the stage for a very cold night tonight.  If you have plants that you want to save, cover them or take them inside, otherwise, they will freeze. Lows in the upper 20s with some mid 20s in the colder valleys.

Saturday: Cold start, but nice and sunny. Cool temps warming to mid to upper 50s. But Sunday will be very different … much warmer. A warm front moves through Sat night, and with a southerly flow of warmer air, temps should rise quickly into the 60s and if enough sun breaks out will soar into the low 70s! 

Things to Look Out for:

1.       Monday warm start … a few showers and clouds.  

2.       Watching Tuesday as that weak storm may still try to develop off the NJ coast and provide a cool damp NE flow locking in the clouds. Don’t expect lots of warm sunshine Tuesday.  

3.       Indian summer like weather still looks on board. Strong southerly flow would typically bump temps to at least 70 Wed and Thu of next week … but look at next point.

4.       The fly in the ointment for midweek: SE flow around High pressure to north and low to the SW could bring in low level moisture off of the Ocean keeping a lid on our Indian summer warmth.

5.       Big rain likely late next week, bringing a widespread 1-2” rain.

Until Tomorrow.