The title is less pessimistic than it appears. Most of the rain this weekend will be Sat night. So the timing looks pretty good. Leaving us with at least a good start to Sat and a good ending to Sunday.
The weekend storm which nearly all models said "No" to on Monday are all saying, "Yes" now. This is why one cannot just look at a pretty model map and say, "This is easy to forecast. Nice ridge in the east. A great sunny dry weekend on the way." Then two days later ... "oops. Got some rain coming."
Models make errors. You know them and correct them. Result: Rainstorm for the weekend. It is delayed about 18 hours from my original thinking, but it is coming.
Enjoy the next 3 days of sunshine with seasonal temps.
The weekend storm which nearly all models said "No" to on Monday are all saying, "Yes" now. This is why one cannot just look at a pretty model map and say, "This is easy to forecast. Nice ridge in the east. A great sunny dry weekend on the way." Then two days later ... "oops. Got some rain coming."
Models make errors. You know them and correct them. Result: Rainstorm for the weekend. It is delayed about 18 hours from my original thinking, but it is coming.
Enjoy the next 3 days of sunshine with seasonal temps.
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