Much Calmer ...

Discussion:
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The major Oct East Coast Storm is history. And some history it made. A ton of rain for many people throughout the NE, but for us, as you can see on the map, we were in a “slice” of low rain totals. Still received over 1”, but surprised we did not get over 2”. However, the message of the heavy rain was dead on, as was the wind.

The highest wind gust reported in Central PA was at Fort Indiantown Gap at 70 mph around 11:55 pm Sun night. Not sure if you were awakened, but I was by that wind. Was it 70 mph?  I cannot say, but I do know that the wind was vicious, and the trees were flailing around like they did with Hurricane Irene. Thought for sure we would lose power, many did, but we did not. Guess we were fortunate.

And there was some reported snow in the Poconos, Catskills, and the Alleghenies.

Now to some much calmer fall weather. Sunshine and clouds today, and Wednesday the clouds thicken and produce some light rain/showers. This will make for a very chilly day with highs near 50. The heaviest rain will be to our west. Milder for Thursday, and Friday With a shower possible.

It will turn cooler again over the weekend before it begins to moderate again early next week.

What we are experiencing now, the last 7 days, and the next 7 days, could represent what our winter pattern may be like:

1. Basic ridging near the west coast and east coast with a trough in the central US.
2. Occasionally the trough will push further south and east, due to an amplifying ridge near the west coast. This will bring very wet weather to our area, and possibly provide the focus for some strong to intense storms. Snow/ice/rain will all be possible.
3. Cold will come in, but should be centered further west, like it is now.
4. Warm/mild air will build in at times, as the ridge in the east builds stronger from time to time.

In summary my theme for the winter: Transitory.

One week may be cold, and snowy. The next mild and rainy. The following cool and dry. Then cold and snow/ice/rain. I do not think this will be a bitter cold winter nor a huge snow year, but I do think we will see it go up and down, back, and forth warm to cold, rain to snow, with the unfortunate possibility of ice being a dangerous nuisance.

Over-all:

• Temperatures for Nov – Feb above average by 1-2 degrees (at least)
• Precipitation for Nov – Feb above average by 1” per month.
• Snow for whole season (Nov to the end) average (30-36”).

 
Dailies:

Tuesday: Sun and clouds. Less wind. Chilly.
Wednesday: Thickening clouds. Chance for light rain/showers.  Chilly.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy. Milder. Chance for showers.   
Friday: Partly sunny. Chance for showers late. Milder.   
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Cooler.  
Sunday. Partly to mostly sunny. Seasonable.   
Monday: Sun and clouds. Milder.

Enjoy!

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