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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Middle of March Weather

3/11/2019

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This coming week will be rather typical for the middle of March: seasonal with a couple mild/warm days tossed in followed by winter last stand next week. But first an oops admission. 

Oops Factor:

The update Sat afternoon was a good one. We did get more sleet/freezing rain than I first thought. So that was a good call. However, the call for temps to rise to near 50 or low 50s … stunk.

Now I was in Chambersburg with our Bible Quizzers Sun afternoon/evening. It turned sunny and mild down there with temps into the low 50s. But fog was thick by the time we got back home with temps hovering around 40. I knew it would be a tough call, but a ten-degree error is bad.  

Moving On:

Today, Tuesday, and Wednesday will be relatively speaking pleasant days feature mostly sunny skies, with some clouds around, and a gusty wind at times, esp. today and maybe Wed also. 

Thursday should also be decent, although low pressure will be approaching from the SW giving us more clouds and then showers for Thu night. But a mild flow of air will develop also, boosting our temps to above average and maybe into the 50s for Fri, before colder air returns.

No snow or ice this week. Just some rain Thu night into Fri morning. Then Sat looks a lot like today. A rather pleasant late winter week is coming up.

After next weekend, a 7 to maybe 10-day period of weather looks like winter’s last stand for this year. I am thinking there will be a couple of chances for some snow, with the potential for something even bigger. It will be chilly also. But after about the 27th of the month (maybe as early as 24th) winter will be done as the cold air lifts out and we shift into a seasonal to mild weather pattern (highs by April are in the 50s) into the first week of April and beyond. Even with a cool spell in April, winter will not return for our area. Winter’s end is near, just be patient for another couple of weeks.
 
Side Note: Some numbers for March 1-10 …

Harrisburg … -7.5                              Williamsport … -7.1                         Philadelphia … -6.7
Mt Pocono … - 9.8                            NYC … -7.0                                           Albany … -6.5
Binghamton … -7.9                          Buffalo … -11.1                                  Burlington … -6.1
Portland … -6.8                                  Caribou … -7.8                                   Boston … -5.7
 
I would not call that a mild or even a seasonal pattern. That is a chilly to cold pattern for the first 10 days of the month. Combine that with average to above average snow for most, gives one a very wintry beginning of the month. A break this week (4 seasonal days and 1 mild, 1 warm day) but winter has one last stand left.

Enjoy

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    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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