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Faithful Forecast

A Forecast for Southern Schuylkill and Northern Lebanon County  

Mid July Weather: Very Warm to Hot and Humid.

7/11/2016

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Typical summer heat will dominate our weather for the next week. Then some question as to whether we get a heat wave or not. I’m thinking that surges of heat will continue but it will be pushed back every so often. So overall a very warm pattern will be continuing.

Ridging will continue to dominate the Central States, and the east central Atlantic Ocean. In between will be a weakness, which is where our cooler shots of air can move south. But what about precipitation?

The best chances for rain is Wed, Thu, Fri and Sun. The best days will be Thu and Sun. Now the timing may change, but that is how it looks right now. A cold front will move through Friday, but it will be weakening considerably, and it will stall just to our SE of even over our area. This should lead to some disturbance moving along it over the weekend. This could provide a good opportunity for rain late Saturday night into Sunday.

The potential is there as the above map shows. Any thunderstorm will be capable of heavy rainfall. I imagine that the areas that have been getting the most rain lately will likely to continue to receive the most. When it is drier, you need to under-forecast the rain. So yes, some backyards may get 2" in the next 7 days. But others may get just .5" or less. But any rain is good. 
 
Points for Next 7 Days:
  1. Very Warm to Hot: Tue – Sun. Hottest days are Thu and Fri. Temps into the low 90s. Rest of days in the mid to upper 80s.  
  2. Humid: By Wed it will begin to feel quite humid and will stay that way through Thu, lowering Fri and into the weekend.
  3. Rain Chances: Wed afternoon/night, Thu afternoon/night, Sat night/Sunday.  
 
Details:

Tuesday: 88. Mostly sunny. Warmer.     

Wednesday: 89. Mostly sunny. More humid. Chance for showers/storms late and overnight. 

Thursday: 91. Mostly sunny. Hot. Humid. Chance for showers/storms in afternoon/evening.        

Friday: 90. Sun and clouds. Hot. Humid. Slight chance for shower/storm.     

Saturday: 87. Sun and clouds. Less humid.   

Sunday: 80. Mostly cloudy. Showers/storms likely.   

Monday: 88. Mostly sunny. Very warm. Humid.  
                    
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    Author

    Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.

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