This week will feature two storms: one Sunday, and one Friday, with a weaker system staying to our south and southwest on Tuesday.
Sunday: This forecast is a royal pain. There will be some rain / touch of mixed / some snow. But how much? That is the pain in the neck part. The charts from some models illustrate this clearly. From left to right: American, Canadian, German. A nice 0" - 5" snow! Can't go wrong with that forecast right?
Comment: the computer models have not been performing well this past month. There has been some significant errors.
Tuesday: The Sunday coastal low will still be stalled east/southeast of New England, as a burst of upper level energy moves southeast through the Ohio Valley. This will produce some light to moderate snow out there. But it will stay to our southwest and south.
Friday: The potential is there for a bigger storm coming out of the central states, that develops a coastal low. Lots of questions regarding this system, but again, lots of time to figure it out.
Sunday: LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST! Cloudy. Spotty morning very light rain/snow/mix becomes steadier by 2 pm and becomes all snow by 4 pm and ends by 10 pm. Total snow: Coating - 2" valleys. 2-3" Ridges. (Low confidence = no snow or mostly snow = nothing or 5").
Monday: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. 38.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Chance for a snow shower. 37.
Wednesday: Sun and clouds. 38.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. 40.
Friday: Increasing clouds. Chance for snow. 34.
Saturday: Clearing skies. Chance snow ending. 36.
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Pastor Terry. He received his bachelors degree in Meteorology from the State University of New York at Oneonta, in 1994. The education continued as a hobby by reading the blogs of some of the best forecasters in the business. Although forceasting the weather is an imperfect science, it is a pleasure to follow what the Creator has made.